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Ottawa Senators vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 20, 2026

NHL matchup

Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 20, 2026.

January 20, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

40:03 together · 8 games

xG share48.4%
Corsi for / against
31 / 35
Fenwick for / against
19 / 25
Corsi share
47.0%
Fenwick share
43.2%
xG for / against
1.19 / 1.27
Defense pair

121:46 together · 9 games

xG share55.4%
Corsi for / against
130 / 114
Fenwick for / against
88 / 81
Corsi share
53.3%
Fenwick share
52.1%
xG for / against
6.00 / 4.83
All observed combinations

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:52 together · 7 games

xG share58.5%
Corsi for / against
98 / 81
Fenwick for / against
66 / 52
Corsi share
54.7%
Fenwick share
55.9%
xG for / against
4.95 / 3.51
Defense pair

115:32 together · 9 games

xG share57.0%
Corsi for / against
134 / 106
Fenwick for / against
84 / 72
Corsi share
55.8%
Fenwick share
53.8%
xG for / against
5.18 / 3.91
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

James Reimer

Ottawa Senators · Last start: Jan 18

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
34
Save %
88.2
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
32.4

Elvis Merzlikins

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Jan 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
88.3
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
35.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Ottawa Senators

xG for / game
3.40
xG against / game
2.48
xG differential / game
0.92

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
3.64
xG against / game
3.70
xG differential / game
-0.06

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.2
Corsi share (%)
54.2
Fenwick share (%)
54.9
Faceoff win %
50.7
Penalties / game
5.1

Shots / game: 30.5 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.5
Corsi share (%)
50.0
Fenwick share (%)
50.8
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 32.6 · Shooting: 9.5% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Ottawa Senators OTT
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
16Points10
0.615Points %0.500
39Goals for26
38Goals against33
1Goal differential-7
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Ottawa Senators OTT road
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ home
6Games7
3Wins4
6Points8
0Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Ottawa Senators OTT
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
6-4-0Record5-5-0
12Points10
29Goals for26
30Goals against33
-1Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Ottawa Senators OTT 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 4 wins
Total goals35 – 29
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game3.5 / 2.9
Shots per game32.5 / 28.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 29, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
4 - 1 22 - 28 View
Dec 11, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
6 - 3 29 - 26 View
Apr 8, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 5 35 - 35 View
Apr 6, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
0 - 4 29 - 30 View
Mar 29, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
2 - 3 30 - 27 View
Mar 14, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
3 - 2 37 - 37 View
Feb 13, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 6 40 - 30 View
Dec 1, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 4 43 - 23 View
Apr 2, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
3 - 4 27 - 22 View
Mar 4, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
2 - 5 21 - 39 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.