Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames matchup on March 5, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Ottawa Senators a 64.5% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Ottawa Senators
(64.5%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 5, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Ottawa Senators
64.5%
Fair American: -182
Fair Decimal: 1.55
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Points | 77 |
| 0.604 | Points % | 0.470 |
| 278 | Goals For | 212 |
| 246 | Goals Against | 259 |
| 32 | Goal Differential | -47 |
| W1 | Current Streak | W1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
OTT (Road)
|
Metric |
CGY (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 23 |
| 47 | Points | 51 |
| 1 | Goal Differential | 13 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 36 | Goals For | 30 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 10 | Goal Differential | -7 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
OTT
|
H2H Summary |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 28 | Total Goals | 34 |
| -6 | Goal Differential | +6 |
| 2.8 | Goals / Game | 3.4 |
| 30.5 | Shots / Game | 32.2 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 38 | View |
| Dec 19, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Calgary Flames
@
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 32 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 30 | View |
| Jan 9, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Calgary Flames
@
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 36 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 38 | View |
| Mar 12, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Calgary Flames
@
|
1 - 5 | 31 - 39 | View |
| Feb 13, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
3 - 4 | 37 - 25 | View |
| Jan 13, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Calgary Flames
@
|
4 - 1 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Nov 14, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
4 - 0 | 33 - 27 | View |
| May 9, 2021 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Calgary Flames
@
|
1 - 6 | 20 - 36 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.