Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2026

Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames matchup on March 5, 2026. playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model currently gives the Ottawa Senators a 64.5% win probability.

๐Ÿค– Model favours Ottawa Senators (64.5%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 5, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Ottawa Senators logo
Ottawa Senators
64.5%
Fair American: -182
Fair Decimal: 1.55
Calculate Value โ†’
Home Model vs Market
Calgary Flames logo
Calgary Flames
35.5%
Fair American: +182
Fair Decimal: 2.82
Calculate Value โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Season Overview
Ottawa Senators OTT
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
99 Points 77
0.604 Points % 0.470
278 Goals For 212
246 Goals Against 259
32 Goal Differential -47
W1 Current Streak W1
๐Ÿš Road vs ๐Ÿ  Home
Ottawa Senators OTT (Road)
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY (Home)
41 Games 41
21 Wins 23
47 Points 51
1 Goal Differential 13
๐Ÿ”ฅ Last 10 Games
Ottawa Senators OTT
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
6-3-1 Record 4-5-1
13 Points 9
36 Goals For 30
26 Goals Against 37
10 Goal Differential -7
๐Ÿฅ… Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
Ottawa Senators OTT
H2H Summary
Calgary Flames CGY
6-4 Record 4-6
28 Total Goals 34
-6 Goal Differential +6
2.8 Goals / Game 3.4
30.5 Shots / Game 32.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 30, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators
3 - 4 29 - 38 View
Dec 19, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames
3 - 2 29 - 32 View
Nov 25, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators
3 - 4 27 - 30 View
Jan 9, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames
3 - 6 33 - 36 View
Nov 11, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators
1 - 4 25 - 38 View
Mar 12, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames
1 - 5 31 - 39 View
Feb 13, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators
3 - 4 37 - 25 View
Jan 13, 2022
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames
4 - 1 34 - 28 View
Nov 14, 2021
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators
4 - 0 33 - 27 View
May 9, 2021
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames
1 - 6 20 - 36 View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.