Away team
Ottawa Senators
64.5%
Fair American
-182
Fair decimal
1.55
Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 5, 2026.
March 5, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Ottawa Senators
at 64.5%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
35.5%
Fair American
+182
Fair decimal
2.82
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Points | 77 |
| 0.604 | Points % | 0.470 |
| 278 | Goals for | 212 |
| 246 | Goals against | 259 |
| 32 | Goal differential | -47 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 23 |
| 47 | Points | 51 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 13 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 36 | Goals for | 30 |
| 26 | Goals against | 37 |
| 10 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
6 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
4 wins
Total goals28 – 34
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game2.8 / 3.4
Shots per game30.5 / 32.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 38 | View |
| Dec 19, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 2 | 29 - 32 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 30 | View |
| Jan 9, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 36 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 38 | View |
| Mar 12, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 5 | 31 - 39 | View |
| Feb 13, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 37 - 25 | View |
| Jan 13, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Calgary Flames
|
4 - 1 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Nov 14, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 0 | 33 - 27 | View |
| May 9, 2021 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 6 | 20 - 36 | View |