Away team
New York Rangers
29.9%
Fair American
+234
Fair decimal
3.34
New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 27, 2027
NHL matchup
New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 27, 2027.
March 27, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 70.1%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
70.1%
Fair American
-234
Fair decimal
1.43
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Points | 106 |
| 0.470 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 238 | Goals for | 290 |
| 250 | Goals against | 231 |
| -12 | Goal differential | 59 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NYR road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 20 | Wins | 26 |
| 42 | Points | 53 |
| 6 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
NYR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 36 | Goals for | 26 |
| 20 | Goals against | 30 |
| 16 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYR
6 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
4 wins
Total goals36 – 31
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.6 / 3.1
Shots per game27.0 / 28.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 21 - 31 | View |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 1 | 35 - 13 | View |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
7 - 3 | 21 - 36 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
0 - 4 | 27 - 22 | View |
| Apr 7, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 1 | 23 - 39 | View |
| Dec 28, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 6 | 44 - 25 | View |
| Mar 14, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 6 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Feb 7, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 3 | 18 - 24 | View |
| Dec 30, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 1 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Apr 5, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 37 | View |