Forward trio
110:57 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 95
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 74
- Corsi share
- 50.3%
- Fenwick share
- 47.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.39 / 4.12
New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 15, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 15, 2026.
April 15, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
151:45 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 173 / 120
- Fenwick for / against
- 124 / 94
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.9%
- xG for / against
- 9.14 / 6.00
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
54:14 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 51 / 46
- Fenwick for / against
- 35 / 34
- Corsi share
- 52.6%
- Fenwick share
- 50.7%
- xG for / against
- 2.61 / 1.82
Defense pair
125:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 90 / 112
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 81
- Corsi share
- 44.6%
- Fenwick share
- 43.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.56 / 3.94
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jonathan Quick
New York Rangers · Last start: Apr 13
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 23.8
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tampa Bay Lightning · Last start: Apr 13
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 123
- Save %
- 91.9
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 31.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 3.11
- xG against / game
- 2.62
- xG differential / game
- 0.49
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- xG for / game
- 3.09
- xG against / game
- 2.96
- xG differential / game
- 0.13
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.4
- Faceoff win %
- 56.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft
Tampa Bay Lightning
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.8
- Faceoff win %
- 45.0
- Penalties / game
- 6.4
Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 15 |
| 0.536 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 44 | Goals for | 38 |
| 42 | Goals against | 34 |
| 2 | Goal differential | 4 |
| L3 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
NYR road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Points | 10 |
| -14 | Goal differential | 9 |
Last 10 games
|
NYR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 9 | Points | 15 |
| 33 | Goals for | 37 |
| 36 | Goals against | 29 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYR
5 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
5 wins
Total goals33 – 31
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game3.3 / 3.1
Shots per game29.5 / 29.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 1 | 35 - 13 | View |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
7 - 3 | 21 - 36 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
0 - 4 | 27 - 22 | View |
| Apr 7, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 1 | 23 - 39 | View |
| Dec 28, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 6 | 44 - 25 | View |
| Mar 14, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 6 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Feb 7, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 3 | 18 - 24 | View |
| Dec 30, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 1 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Apr 5, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 6 | 31 - 37 | View |
| Dec 29, 2022 |
New York Rangers
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 2 | 46 - 40 | View |