New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 15, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 15, 2026.

April 15, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

New York Rangers

34-39-9
at
Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

50-26-6
Model favourite Tampa Bay Lightning at 63.8%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

36.2%
Fair American +176
Fair decimal 2.76
Best market +143 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 41.2%
Edge -5.0%
Expected value -12.0%
Calculate value
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Home team

Tampa Bay Lightning

63.8%
Fair American -176
Fair decimal 1.57
Best market -152 · BetRivers
Market implied 60.3%
Edge +3.5%
Expected value +5.8%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
77Points106
0.470Points %0.646
238Goals for290
250Goals against231
-12Goal differential59
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL home
41Games41
20Wins26
42Points53
6Goal differential22
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
6-4-0Record5-5-0
12Points10
36Goals for26
20Goals against30
16Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 5 wins
Total goals33 – 31
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.3 / 3.1
Shots per game29.5 / 29.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 29, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 1 35 - 13 View
Nov 12, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
7 - 3 21 - 36 View
Apr 17, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 4 27 - 22 View
Apr 7, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 1 23 - 39 View
Dec 28, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
2 - 6 44 - 25 View
Mar 14, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
3 - 6 28 - 28 View
Feb 7, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 3 18 - 24 View
Dec 30, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
5 - 1 21 - 35 View
Apr 5, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 6 31 - 37 View
Dec 29, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 2 46 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYR TBL