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New York Rangers vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 17, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 17, 2026.

October 17, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

New York Rangers

7-6-1

0
Final
Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

5-5-0

1 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Columbus Blue Jackets at 61.0% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

39.0%
Fair American +156
Fair decimal 2.56
Best market +115 · BetUS
Market implied 46.5%
Edge -7.5%
Expected value -16.1%
Calculate value
Columbus Blue Jackets logo
Home team

Columbus Blue Jackets

61.0%
Fair American -156
Fair decimal 1.64
Best market -129 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 56.3%
Edge +4.7%
Expected value +8.3%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 17, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

75:15 together · 9 games

xG share44.7%
Corsi for / against
60 / 79
Fenwick for / against
41 / 56
Corsi share
43.2%
Fenwick share
42.3%
xG for / against
3.11 / 3.84
Defense pair

126:48 together · 9 games

xG share40.0%
Corsi for / against
95 / 113
Fenwick for / against
56 / 84
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
40.0%
xG for / against
4.29 / 6.44
All observed combinations

Columbus Blue Jackets

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

48:07 together · 5 games

xG share64.1%
Corsi for / against
41 / 35
Fenwick for / against
29 / 21
Corsi share
53.9%
Fenwick share
58.0%
xG for / against
1.44 / 0.81
Defense pair

49:23 together · 3 games

xG share57.0%
Corsi for / against
60 / 47
Fenwick for / against
44 / 34
Corsi share
56.1%
Fenwick share
56.4%
xG for / against
3.27 / 2.47
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

New York Rangers

Dylan Garand 52.1%
Other eligible goalies

Why Dylan Garand?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.503
Started last game
-0.301
Team win pct before
-0.272
Prev save pct
-0.206
Won previous appearance
-0.186
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Columbus Blue Jackets

Jet Greaves 83.9%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jet Greaves?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.499
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.390
Started last game
+0.382
Played last game
+0.363
Goalie win pct before
-0.324
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
94
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
28.7

Cam Talbot

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Oct 13

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
45
Save %
82.2
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
42.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.24

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
3.16
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.13

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
49.3
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
46.8
Faceoff win %
54.6
Penalties / game
4.44

Shots / game: 22.8 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Columbus Blue Jackets

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
56.0
Corsi share (%)
48.3
Fenwick share (%)
50.6
Faceoff win %
57.7
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 10.8% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
15Points10
0.536Points %0.500
44Goals for26
42Goals against33
2Goal differential-7
L3Current streakW2
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ home
7Games7
1Wins4
3Points8
-14Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
4-5-1Record5-5-0
9Points10
33Goals for26
36Goals against33
-3Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 4 wins
Total goals31 – 30
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.1 / 3.0
Shots per game32.3 / 29.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 19, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
3 - 6 25 - 37 View
Mar 2, 2026
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 4 28 - 33 View
Nov 15, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 1 33 - 27 View
Mar 15, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 0 21 - 21 View
Mar 9, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
7 - 3 28 - 35 View
Feb 8, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 3 40 - 25 View
Jan 18, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 1 27 - 26 View
Feb 28, 2024
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 31 - 30 View
Feb 25, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 4 40 - 41 View
Nov 12, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 4 28 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYR CBJ