Away team
New York Rangers
40.8%
Fair American
+145
Fair decimal
2.45
New York Rangers vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 11, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Rangers at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 11, 2026.
November 11, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Calgary Flames at 59.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
59.2%
Fair American
-145
Fair decimal
1.69
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 11, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 2.21
- ROI
- 44.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 3-1
- Net units
- 2.41
- ROI
- 60.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.60
- ROI
- 10.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 5-7
- Net units
- 0.73
- ROI
- 6.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 65
- Corsi share
- 51.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.82 / 3.48
Defense pair
146:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 147 / 153
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 98
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.76 / 5.06
Calgary Flames
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Rangers
Expected starter unavailable.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
James Reimer
New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 8
- Save %
- 62.5
- Goals allowed
- 3
- Close-range shots %
- 37.5
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 142
- Save %
- 95.1
- Goals allowed
- 7
- Close-range shots %
- 28.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 3.27
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.21
- xG differential / game
- -0.50
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.0
- Faceoff win %
- 48.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYR
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 0.536 | Points % | 0.417 |
| 44 | Goals for | 28 |
| 42 | Goals against | 45 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -17 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NYR road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| -14 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
NYR
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 9 | Points | 10 |
| 33 | Goals for | 26 |
| 36 | Goals against | 35 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYR
4 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
6 wins
Total goals21 – 29
Goal differential
-8
/
+8
Goals per game2.1 / 2.9
Shots per game25.7 / 32.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Rangers
|
0 - 4 | 21 - 29 | View |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 5 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Mar 18, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 1 | 35 - 13 | View |
| Nov 21, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 49 | View |
| Feb 12, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Rangers
|
0 - 2 | 29 - 31 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
3 - 1 | 20 - 26 | View |
| Feb 18, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 3 | 20 - 32 | View |
| Feb 6, 2023 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 5 | 32 - 33 | View |
| Nov 6, 2021 |
New York Rangers
at
Calgary Flames
|
0 - 6 | 22 - 37 | View |
| Oct 25, 2021 |
Calgary Flames
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 1 | 37 - 29 | View |