Away team
New York Islanders
35.9%
Fair American
+179
Fair decimal
2.79
New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 30, 2027
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 30, 2027.
January 30, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 64.1%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
64.1%
Fair American
-179
Fair decimal
1.56
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 91 | Points | 106 |
| 0.555 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 233 | Goals for | 290 |
| 241 | Goals against | 231 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 59 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 26 |
| 45 | Points | 53 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 6 | Points | 10 |
| 24 | Goals for | 26 |
| 35 | Goals against | 30 |
| -11 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
6 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
4 wins
Total goals29 – 25
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game2.9 / 2.5
Shots per game29.1 / 28.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 17 | View |
| Dec 6, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 0 | 19 - 32 | View |
| Dec 2, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 2 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Apr 1, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Mar 29, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 5 | 38 - 24 | View |
| Feb 1, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 2 | 36 - 31 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
1 - 4 | 28 - 40 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 2 | 21 - 34 | View |
| Feb 8, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 6 | 20 - 24 | View |
| Apr 6, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 6 | 31 - 42 | View |