Away team
New York Islanders
33.5%
Fair American
+199
Fair decimal
2.99
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2027
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2027.
January 16, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New Jersey Devils at 66.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New Jersey Devils
66.5%
Fair American
-199
Fair decimal
1.5
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 16, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- -0.28
- ROI
- -5.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -3.13
- ROI
- -44.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 3-0
- Net units
- 1.72
- ROI
- 57.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- -0.35
- ROI
- -3.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.28
- ROI
- 5.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.65
- ROI
- 7.2%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
54:55 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 51 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 37 / 43
- Corsi share
- 47.7%
- Fenwick share
- 46.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair
121:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 86 / 63
- Corsi share
- 59.4%
- Fenwick share
- 57.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.72 / 4.44
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:30 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 101 / 54
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 37
- Corsi share
- 65.2%
- Fenwick share
- 64.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.63 / 2.12
Defense pair
159:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 195 / 128
- Fenwick for / against
- 126 / 85
- Corsi share
- 60.4%
- Fenwick share
- 59.7%
- xG for / against
- 7.53 / 5.27
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Islanders
Expected starter unavailable.
New Jersey Devils
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 135
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 28.1
Jake Allen
New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 89.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 26.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.97
- xG against / game
- 3.30
- xG differential / game
- -0.33
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New Jersey Devils
- xG for / game
- 3.50
- xG against / game
- 2.42
- xG differential / game
- 1.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 56.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 68.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 58.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.6
- Faceoff win %
- 51.3
- Penalties / game
- 2.7
Shots / game: 33.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Points | 14 |
| 0.545 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 32 | Goals for | 36 |
| 29 | Goals against | 32 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
NJD home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 8 |
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Points | 12 |
| -5 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 31 | Goals for | 33 |
| 27 | Goals against | 30 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
8 wins
10
games reviewed
NJD
2 wins
Total goals35 – 16
Goal differential
+19
/
-19
Goals per game3.5 / 1.6
Shots per game24.9 / 32.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 |
New Jersey Devils
at
New York Islanders
|
0 - 6 | 37 - 32 | View |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
New York Islanders
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 1 | 14 - 24 | View |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
New Jersey Devils
at
New York Islanders
|
0 - 9 | 44 - 24 | View |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 2 | 32 - 25 | View |
| Nov 10, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 2 | 24 - 35 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
New Jersey Devils
|
1 - 0 | 23 - 25 | View |
| Nov 9, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 3 | 33 - 22 | View |
| Oct 25, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
New Jersey Devils
|
4 - 3 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
New Jersey Devils
|
4 - 1 | 19 - 24 | View |
| Mar 24, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 0 | 30 - 36 | View |