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New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 5, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 5, 2026.

February 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

58:43 together · 7 games

xG share48.5%
Corsi for / against
45 / 35
Fenwick for / against
36 / 24
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
60.0%
xG for / against
1.70 / 1.80
Defense pair

132:15 together · 10 games

xG share45.8%
Corsi for / against
115 / 106
Fenwick for / against
86 / 72
Corsi share
52.0%
Fenwick share
54.4%
xG for / against
4.13 / 4.89
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

61:31 together · 7 games

xG share54.6%
Corsi for / against
62 / 40
Fenwick for / against
38 / 29
Corsi share
60.8%
Fenwick share
56.7%
xG for / against
2.32 / 1.92
Defense pair

64:13 together · 7 games

xG share47.6%
Corsi for / against
53 / 68
Fenwick for / against
41 / 45
Corsi share
43.8%
Fenwick share
47.7%
xG for / against
2.46 / 2.70
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Feb 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
143
Save %
91.6
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
33.6

Jacob Markstrom

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Feb 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
89.9
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
26.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.82
xG against / game
2.96
xG differential / game
-0.14

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
2.79
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.9
Corsi share (%)
51.3
Fenwick share (%)
52.5
Faceoff win %
54.2
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.3
Corsi share (%)
52.2
Fenwick share (%)
50.9
Faceoff win %
51.4
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 27.3 · Shooting: 8.1% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
14Points16
0.583Points %0.667
36Goals for41
32Goals against33
4Goal differential8
W1Current streakW4
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
6Games8
2Wins6
5Points12
-4Goal differential11
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
5-3-2Record7-3-0
12Points14
29Goals for38
30Goals against25
-1Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 6 wins
10 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 4 wins
Total goals34 – 25
Goal differential +9 / -9
Goals per game3.4 / 2.5
Shots per game26.1 / 33.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 6, 2026
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 9 44 - 24 View
Dec 23, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 2 32 - 25 View
Nov 10, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 2 24 - 35 View
Apr 13, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 0 23 - 25 View
Nov 9, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 33 - 22 View
Oct 25, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 3 30 - 36 View
Apr 15, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 1 19 - 24 View
Mar 24, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 0 30 - 36 View
Nov 28, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 5 26 - 33 View
Oct 20, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders New York Islanders
5 - 4 39 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.