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New York Islanders vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 27, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Nashville Predators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 27, 2026.

October 27, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

New York Islanders

6-4-2

4
Final
Home

Nashville Predators

4-3-5

3 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Nashville Predators at 58.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Islanders logo
Away team

New York Islanders

41.9%
Fair American +139
Fair decimal 2.39
Best market +105 · BetRivers
Market implied 48.8%
Edge -6.9%
Expected value -14.1%
Calculate value
Nashville Predators logo
Home team

Nashville Predators

58.1%
Fair American -139
Fair decimal 1.72
Best market -118 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 54.1%
Edge +4.0%
Expected value +7.3%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 27, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

54:55 together · 7 games

xG share46.9%
Corsi for / against
51 / 56
Fenwick for / against
37 / 43
Corsi share
47.7%
Fenwick share
46.3%
xG for / against
2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair

121:23 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
126 / 86
Fenwick for / against
86 / 63
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
5.72 / 4.44
All observed combinations

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

48:38 together · 9 games

xG share65.8%
Corsi for / against
55 / 43
Fenwick for / against
38 / 32
Corsi share
56.1%
Fenwick share
54.3%
xG for / against
3.00 / 1.56
Defense pair

99:32 together · 9 games

xG share45.8%
Corsi for / against
92 / 104
Fenwick for / against
70 / 74
Corsi share
46.9%
Fenwick share
48.6%
xG for / against
3.89 / 4.61
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

New York Islanders

Ilya Sorokin 77.1%
Other eligible goalies

Why Ilya Sorokin?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.949
Prev save pct
-0.363
Started last game
-0.318
Goalie win pct before
+0.253
Won previous appearance
-0.194
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 27, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Nashville Predators

Juuse Saros 71.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Juuse Saros?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.173
Started last game
+0.378
Days since last start
+0.334
Team win pct before
+0.234
Consecutive starts
+0.201
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 27, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
28.1

Justus Annunen

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 25

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
52
Save %
84.6
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
34.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
3.25
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.0
Corsi share (%)
49.2
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
56.0
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.8
Corsi share (%)
47.1
Fenwick share (%)
47.9
Faceoff win %
50.5
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
14Points13
0.583Points %0.542
36Goals for34
32Goals against39
4Goal differential-5
W1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH home
6Games7
2Wins3
5Points8
-4Goal differential1
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
5-3-2Record3-2-5
12Points11
29Goals for31
30Goals against35
-1Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Nashville Predators NSH 8 wins
Total goals30 – 36
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game3.0 / 3.6
Shots per game31.2 / 30.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 31, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 42 - 30 View
Jan 8, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 2 31 - 27 View
Apr 8, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
6 - 7 22 - 32 View
Mar 1, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 7 29 - 35 View
Apr 6, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 2 42 - 30 View
Jan 13, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 3 25 - 28 View
Dec 2, 2022
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 1 23 - 49 View
Nov 17, 2022
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
4 - 5 33 - 31 View
Dec 9, 2021
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 29 - 21 View
Oct 30, 2021
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 3 36 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYI NSH