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New York Islanders vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2026.

February 28, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

59:08 together · 7 games

xG share42.9%
Corsi for / against
46 / 37
Fenwick for / against
32 / 27
Corsi share
55.4%
Fenwick share
54.2%
xG for / against
1.47 / 1.95
Defense pair

137:44 together · 10 games

xG share54.7%
Corsi for / against
133 / 105
Fenwick for / against
97 / 76
Corsi share
55.9%
Fenwick share
56.1%
xG for / against
5.62 / 4.66
All observed combinations

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

158:05 together · 10 games

xG share70.5%
Corsi for / against
191 / 122
Fenwick for / against
147 / 85
Corsi share
61.0%
Fenwick share
63.4%
xG for / against
9.88 / 4.13
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Feb 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
147
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
34.7

Elvis Merzlikins

Columbus Blue Jackets · Last start: Feb 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
104
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
25.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.64
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
-0.31

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Columbus Blue Jackets

xG for / game
2.50
xG against / game
2.62
xG differential / game
-0.11

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.5
Corsi share (%)
50.6
Fenwick share (%)
50.6
Faceoff win %
54.7
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Columbus Blue Jackets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.5
Corsi share (%)
48.3
Fenwick share (%)
48.1
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 13.5% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
14Points10
0.583Points %0.500
36Goals for26
32Goals against33
4Goal differential-7
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
New York Islanders NYI road
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ home
6Games7
2Wins4
5Points8
-4Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
New York Islanders NYI
Metric
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ
5-3-2Record5-5-0
12Points10
29Goals for26
30Goals against33
-1Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Islanders NYI 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ 5 wins
Total goals29 – 29
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game2.9 / 2.9
Shots per game33.5 / 28.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 28, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 4 26 - 35 View
Nov 2, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 22 - 39 View
Apr 17, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
1 - 6 37 - 26 View
Mar 24, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 30 - 33 View
Jan 20, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 3 26 - 25 View
Oct 30, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
0 - 2 26 - 26 View
Apr 4, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 2 41 - 27 View
Dec 7, 2023
Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 7 35 - 36 View
Oct 28, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2 - 0 34 - 34 View
Mar 24, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 5 38 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.