Forward trio
74:26 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 65 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 42 / 56
- Corsi share
- 43.3%
- Fenwick share
- 42.9%
- xG for / against
- 2.77 / 3.35
New York Islanders vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 4, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 4, 2026.
March 4, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
146:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 127 / 115
- Fenwick for / against
- 90 / 83
- Corsi share
- 52.5%
- Fenwick share
- 52.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.45 / 4.89
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:28 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 44
- Corsi share
- 53.8%
- Fenwick share
- 55.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 2.85
Defense pair
129:02 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 144 / 114
- Fenwick for / against
- 108 / 85
- Corsi share
- 55.8%
- Fenwick share
- 56.0%
- xG for / against
- 6.76 / 6.60
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
David Rittich
New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 1
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 112
- Save %
- 84.8
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 33.0
Lukas Dostal
Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Mar 3
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 148
- Save %
- 87.8
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 38.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 2.55
- xG against / game
- 3.08
- xG differential / game
- -0.53
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Anaheim Ducks
- xG for / game
- 3.45
- xG against / game
- 3.52
- xG differential / game
- -0.06
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.8
- Faceoff win %
- 53.4
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 25.6 · Shooting: 14.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Anaheim Ducks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 63.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.5
- Faceoff win %
- 48.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.6
Shots / game: 31.3 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYI
|
Metric |
ANA
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 11 |
| 0.583 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 36 | Goals for | 37 |
| 32 | Goals against | 43 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -6 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
NYI road
|
Metric |
ANA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 5 |
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 5 | Points | 3 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -7 |
Last 10 games
|
NYI
|
Metric |
ANA
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 29 | Goals for | 30 |
| 30 | Goals against | 38 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYI
7 wins
10
games reviewed
ANA
3 wins
Total goals43 – 26
Goal differential
+17
/
-17
Goals per game4.3 / 2.6
Shots per game31.9 / 28.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 5 | 33 - 37 | View |
| Mar 9, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
1 - 4 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Oct 29, 2024 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 1 | 22 - 41 | View |
| Mar 10, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
6 - 1 | 19 - 23 | View |
| Dec 13, 2023 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 24 - 35 | View |
| Mar 15, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
6 - 3 | 33 - 23 | View |
| Oct 15, 2022 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
New York Islanders
|
1 - 7 | 23 - 38 | View |
| Mar 13, 2022 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 42 - 29 | View |
| Feb 27, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Anaheim Ducks
|
4 - 0 | 22 - 34 | View |
| Dec 21, 2019 |
Anaheim Ducks
at
New York Islanders
|
6 - 5 | 28 - 33 | View |