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New Jersey Devils vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 4, 2027

NHL matchup

New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 4, 2027.

January 4, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: New Jersey Devils at 53.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New Jersey Devils logo
Away team

New Jersey Devils

53.3%
Fair American -114
Fair decimal 1.88
Calculate value
San Jose Sharks logo
Home team

San Jose Sharks

46.7%
Fair American +114
Fair decimal 2.14
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 4, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

84:14 together · 8 games

xG share71.9%
Corsi for / against
105 / 60
Fenwick for / against
67 / 40
Corsi share
63.6%
Fenwick share
62.6%
xG for / against
5.88 / 2.30
Defense pair

161:33 together · 10 games

xG share57.9%
Corsi for / against
192 / 134
Fenwick for / against
119 / 89
Corsi share
58.9%
Fenwick share
57.2%
xG for / against
7.24 / 5.26
All observed combinations

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

128:35 together · 10 games

xG share45.6%
Corsi for / against
111 / 133
Fenwick for / against
79 / 95
Corsi share
45.5%
Fenwick share
45.4%
xG for / against
4.57 / 5.46
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Connor Hellebuyck

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 27

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
18
Save %
94.4
Goals allowed
1
Close-range shots %
55.6

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
158
Save %
91.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
35.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 4, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
2.21
xG differential / game
1.22

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
3.07
xG against / game
3.93
xG differential / game
-0.86

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 4, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.5
Corsi share (%)
58.1
Fenwick share (%)
58.0
Faceoff win %
51.5
Penalties / game
2.5

Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.6
Corsi share (%)
47.0
Fenwick share (%)
45.9
Faceoff win %
48.0
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
16Points13
0.667Points %0.500
41Goals for37
33Goals against45
8Goal differential-8
W4Current streakL2
Road versus home
New Jersey Devils NJD road
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS home
4Games5
2Wins2
4Points4
-3Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
San Jose Sharks SJS
7-3-0Record4-5-1
14Points9
38Goals for28
25Goals against33
13Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New Jersey Devils NJD 5 wins
10 games reviewed
San Jose Sharks SJS 5 wins
Total goals28 – 29
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game2.8 / 2.9
Shots per game36.4 / 25.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 30, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 5 31 - 28 View
Oct 24, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 3 17 - 29 View
Jan 4, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 30 - 24 View
Nov 10, 2024
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 0 27 - 44 View
Feb 27, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
7 - 2 44 - 31 View
Dec 1, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
6 - 3 18 - 47 View
Jan 16, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 3 41 - 32 View
Oct 22, 2022
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 2 22 - 36 View
Nov 30, 2021
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
5 - 2 31 - 34 View
Nov 6, 2021
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 2 28 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.