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New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 3, 2026

NHL matchup

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 3, 2026.

October 3, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

New Jersey Devils

8-4-0

0 Model pick
Final
Home

New York Islanders

6-4-2

6
Model V2 pick: New Jersey Devils at 50.9% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New Jersey Devils logo
Away team

New Jersey Devils

50.9%
Fair American -104
Fair decimal 1.96
Best market -132 · BetRivers
Market implied 56.9%
Edge -6.0%
Expected value -10.5%
Calculate value
New York Islanders logo
Home team

New York Islanders

49.1%
Fair American +104
Fair decimal 2.04
Best market +120 · DraftKings
Market implied 45.5%
Edge +3.6%
Expected value +8.0%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 3, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New Jersey Devils

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

10:54 together · 1 game

xG share75.5%
Corsi for / against
17 / 4
Fenwick for / against
10 / 2
Corsi share
81.0%
Fenwick share
83.3%
xG for / against
0.57 / 0.19
Defense pair

14:31 together · 1 game

xG share78.2%
Corsi for / against
26 / 14
Fenwick for / against
19 / 8
Corsi share
65.0%
Fenwick share
70.4%
xG for / against
1.26 / 0.35
All observed combinations

New York Islanders

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trioUnder 10 minutes

7:14 together · 1 game

xG share47.2%
Corsi for / against
15 / 7
Fenwick for / against
13 / 6
Corsi share
68.2%
Fenwick share
68.4%
xG for / against
0.30 / 0.33
Defense pairUnder 10 minutes

9:42 together · 1 game

xG share56.7%
Corsi for / against
13 / 4
Fenwick for / against
8 / 4
Corsi share
76.5%
Fenwick share
66.7%
xG for / against
0.32 / 0.25
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Allen

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 1

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
25
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
2
Close-range shots %
20.0

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Sep 30

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
26
Save %
92.3
Goals allowed
2
Close-range shots %
34.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
4.42
xG against / game
2.02
xG differential / game
2.40

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.66
xG against / game
2.48
xG differential / game
0.18

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
95.0
Corsi share (%)
69.9
Fenwick share (%)
66.7
Faceoff win %
50.0
Penalties / game
1.0

Shots / game: 44.0 · Shooting: 6.8% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

New York Islanders

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
68.0
Corsi share (%)
58.6
Fenwick share (%)
55.4
Faceoff win %
40.0
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 27.0 · Shooting: 3.7% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
16Points14
0.667Points %0.583
41Goals for36
33Goals against32
8Goal differential4
W4Current streakW1
Road versus home
New Jersey Devils NJD road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
4Games6
2Wins4
4Points9
-3Goal differential8
Last 10 games
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
7-3-0Record5-3-2
14Points12
38Goals for29
25Goals against30
13Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New Jersey Devils NJD 3 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 7 wins
Total goals21 – 33
Goal differential -12 / +12
Goals per game2.1 / 3.3
Shots per game31.6 / 24.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Feb 5, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 1 14 - 24 View
Jan 6, 2026
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 9 44 - 24 View
Dec 23, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 2 32 - 25 View
Nov 10, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 2 24 - 35 View
Apr 13, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
1 - 0 23 - 25 View
Nov 9, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 33 - 22 View
Oct 25, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 3 30 - 36 View
Apr 15, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 1 19 - 24 View
Mar 24, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 0 30 - 36 View
Nov 28, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 5 26 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NJD NYI