Away team
New Jersey Devils
51.6%
Fair American
-107
Fair decimal
1.94
New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 4, 2027
NHL matchup
New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 4, 2027.
March 4, 2027
· 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New Jersey Devils at 51.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Detroit Red Wings
48.4%
Fair American
+107
Fair decimal
2.07
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 4, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 7-4
- Net units
- 0.74
- ROI
- 6.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 4-3
- Net units
- 0.37
- ROI
- 5.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.65
- ROI
- 7.2%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
92:28 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 110 / 71
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 47
- Corsi share
- 60.8%
- Fenwick share
- 59.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.13 / 2.86
Defense pair
159:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 178 / 136
- Fenwick for / against
- 108 / 92
- Corsi share
- 56.7%
- Fenwick share
- 54.0%
- xG for / against
- 6.64 / 5.21
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 3.44
Defense pair
112:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.84 / 3.62
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New Jersey Devils
Expected starter unavailable.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Allen
New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 88.1
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 25.2
Michal Postava
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 35
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 28.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New Jersey Devils
- xG for / game
- 3.39
- xG against / game
- 2.20
- xG differential / game
- 1.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.19
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 65.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 56.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 56.1
- Faceoff win %
- 51.3
- Penalties / game
- 2.2
Shots / game: 31.0 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NJD
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 13 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 43 | Goals for | 33 |
| 38 | Goals against | 37 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
NJD road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
NJD
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3-0 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 14 | Points | 13 |
| 37 | Goals for | 31 |
| 25 | Goals against | 32 |
| 12 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NJD
6 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
4 wins
Total goals31 – 36
Goal differential
-5
/
+5
Goals per game3.1 / 3.6
Shots per game29.9 / 28.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 4 | 37 - 27 | View |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 3 | 33 - 28 | View |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 0 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Nov 24, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 20 | View |
| Apr 16, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New Jersey Devils
|
5 - 2 | 27 - 30 | View |
| Nov 29, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 4 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Oct 24, 2024 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 5 | 40 - 20 | View |
| Dec 23, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New Jersey Devils
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 36 | View |
| Nov 22, 2023 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
0 - 4 | 16 - 28 | View |
| Oct 12, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 27 | View |