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New Jersey Devils vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 28, 2026

NHL matchup

New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 28, 2026.

October 28, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Away

New Jersey Devils

8-5-0

2
Final
Home

Colorado Avalanche

7-5-1

5 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Colorado Avalanche at 52.4% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New Jersey Devils logo
Away team

New Jersey Devils

47.6%
Fair American +110
Fair decimal 2.1
Best market +128 · BetRivers
Market implied 43.9%
Edge +3.7%
Expected value +8.5%
Calculate value
Colorado Avalanche logo
Home team

Colorado Avalanche

52.4%
Fair American -110
Fair decimal 1.91
Best market -142 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 58.7%
Edge -6.3%
Expected value -10.7%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 28, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

84:14 together · 8 games

xG share71.9%
Corsi for / against
105 / 60
Fenwick for / against
67 / 40
Corsi share
63.6%
Fenwick share
62.6%
xG for / against
5.88 / 2.30
Defense pair

161:33 together · 10 games

xG share57.9%
Corsi for / against
192 / 134
Fenwick for / against
119 / 89
Corsi share
58.9%
Fenwick share
57.2%
xG for / against
7.24 / 5.26
All observed combinations

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

104:07 together · 9 games

xG share57.4%
Corsi for / against
134 / 93
Fenwick for / against
95 / 73
Corsi share
59.0%
Fenwick share
56.5%
xG for / against
6.11 / 4.54
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

New Jersey Devils

Jake Allen 64.5%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jake Allen?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team played yesterday
+0.973
Started last game
+0.526
Days since last start
+0.484
Goalie team start share
+0.410
Consecutive starts
+0.350
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 28, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Colorado Avalanche

Mackenzie Blackwood 93.9%
Other eligible goalies

Why Mackenzie Blackwood?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.989
Days since last start
+0.375
Started last game
+0.307
Goalie win pct before
+0.301
Won previous appearance
+0.295
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 28, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Connor Hellebuyck

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 27

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
18
Save %
94.4
Goals allowed
1
Close-range shots %
55.6

Scott Wedgewood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
27.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
2.21
xG differential / game
1.22

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
2.88
xG differential / game
0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New Jersey Devils

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.5
Corsi share (%)
58.1
Fenwick share (%)
58.0
Faceoff win %
51.5
Penalties / game
2.5

Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.7
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
51.4
Faceoff win %
46.2
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
16Points15
0.615Points %0.577
43Goals for54
38Goals against42
5Goal differential12
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
New Jersey Devils NJD road
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL home
5Games7
2Wins5
4Points11
-6Goal differential14
Last 10 games
New Jersey Devils NJD
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
7-3-0Record5-4-1
14Points11
37Goals for38
25Goals against34
12Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New Jersey Devils NJD 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Colorado Avalanche COL 5 wins
Total goals30 – 40
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game3.0 / 4.0
Shots per game27.6 / 31.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 20, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 4 34 - 41 View
Oct 28, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 8 30 - 42 View
Oct 26, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 4 24 - 24 View
Feb 26, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 5 23 - 37 View
Dec 8, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 0 24 - 25 View
Feb 6, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 5 38 - 31 View
Nov 7, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 6 23 - 32 View
Mar 1, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
7 - 5 29 - 31 View
Oct 28, 2022
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
0 - 1 24 - 23 View
Apr 14, 2022
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 3 27 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NJD COL