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Nashville Predators vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 21, 2027

NHL matchup

Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 21, 2027.

February 21, 2027 · 5:00 PM MBT
Away

Nashville Predators

5-4-5

43.0%
at
Home

Washington Capitals

8-4-0

57.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Washington Capitals at 57.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Nashville Predators logo
Away team

Nashville Predators

43.0%
Fair American +133
Fair decimal 2.33
Calculate value
Washington Capitals logo
Home team

Washington Capitals

57.0%
Fair American -133
Fair decimal 1.75
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 21, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

57:58 together · 9 games

xG share65.6%
Corsi for / against
74 / 41
Fenwick for / against
50 / 26
Corsi share
64.3%
Fenwick share
65.8%
xG for / against
3.53 / 1.86
Defense pair

126:21 together · 10 games

xG share60.9%
Corsi for / against
154 / 121
Fenwick for / against
110 / 89
Corsi share
56.0%
Fenwick share
55.3%
xG for / against
8.69 / 5.59
All observed combinations

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

60:55 together · 8 games

xG share61.8%
Corsi for / against
66 / 59
Fenwick for / against
52 / 40
Corsi share
52.8%
Fenwick share
56.5%
xG for / against
3.82 / 2.37
Defense pair

86:57 together · 10 games

xG share47.0%
Corsi for / against
75 / 105
Fenwick for / against
58 / 79
Corsi share
41.7%
Fenwick share
42.3%
xG for / against
3.95 / 4.46
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Justus Annunen

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 31

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
78
Save %
84.6
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
39.7

Charlie Lindgren

Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 29

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
107
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
28.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
3.26
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
0.00

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.60
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
0.49

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.7
Corsi share (%)
49.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.4
Faceoff win %
52.0
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.3
Corsi share (%)
48.4
Fenwick share (%)
50.2
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
15Points16
0.536Points %0.667
42Goals for43
47Goals against37
-5Goal differential6
W1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Nashville Predators NSH road
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH home
5Games8
1Wins6
5Points12
-6Goal differential6
Last 10 games
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
3-3-4Record7-3-0
10Points14
30Goals for37
36Goals against32
-6Goal differential5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Nashville Predators NSH 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Washington Capitals WSH 6 wins
Total goals21 – 29
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.1 / 2.9
Shots per game29.3 / 28.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 29, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
4 - 3 29 - 27 View
Feb 5, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
2 - 4 29 - 30 View
Jan 11, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 3 30 - 21 View
Jan 11, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
4 - 1 16 - 33 View
Nov 6, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
2 - 3 35 - 36 View
Dec 30, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 2 36 - 29 View
Dec 16, 2023
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 3 22 - 23 View
Jan 6, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 2 21 - 32 View
Oct 29, 2022
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 0 35 - 34 View
Feb 15, 2022
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
4 - 1 28 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NSH WSH