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Nashville Predators vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 24, 2026.

October 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Nashville Predators

4-3-5

2
Final
Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

5-6-1

3 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Pittsburgh Penguins at 53.9% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Nashville Predators logo
Away team

Nashville Predators

46.1%
Fair American +117
Fair decimal 2.17
Best market +120 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 45.5%
Edge +0.6%
Expected value +1.4%
Calculate value
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Home team

Pittsburgh Penguins

53.9%
Fair American -117
Fair decimal 1.86
Best market -136 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 57.6%
Edge -3.7%
Expected value -6.5%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 24, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Nashville Predators

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

49:19 together · 9 games

xG share61.2%
Corsi for / against
56 / 43
Fenwick for / against
38 / 32
Corsi share
56.6%
Fenwick share
54.3%
xG for / against
2.61 / 1.66
Defense pair

89:59 together · 8 games

xG share42.3%
Corsi for / against
78 / 99
Fenwick for / against
57 / 70
Corsi share
44.1%
Fenwick share
44.9%
xG for / against
3.02 / 4.11
All observed combinations

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

62:36 together · 7 games

xG share45.1%
Corsi for / against
62 / 60
Fenwick for / against
44 / 50
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
46.8%
xG for / against
3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair

95:21 together · 8 games

xG share53.4%
Corsi for / against
93 / 90
Fenwick for / against
66 / 60
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
5.32 / 4.64
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Nashville Predators

Juuse Saros 85.5%
Other eligible goalies

Why Juuse Saros?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.034
Team win pct before
+0.413
Started last game
+0.301
Won previous appearance
+0.245
Days since last start
+0.204
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Pittsburgh Penguins

Arturs Silovs 79.7%
Other eligible goalies
  • Sergei Murashov20.3%

Why Arturs Silovs?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.569
Prev save pct
+0.450
Team win pct before
+0.341
Started last game
-0.327
Won previous appearance
+0.313
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Justus Annunen

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 22

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
31
Save %
80.6
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
29.0

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
139
Save %
88.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
36.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
-0.48

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.00
xG against / game
3.36
xG differential / game
-0.37

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
54.2
Corsi share (%)
46.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.0
Faceoff win %
48.7
Penalties / game
3.44

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.8
Corsi share (%)
48.9
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
46.4
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 25.8 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
13Points11
0.542Points %0.458
34Goals for40
39Goals against40
-5Goal differential0
OT1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Nashville Predators NSH road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
5Games5
1Wins4
5Points8
-6Goal differential6
Last 10 games
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
3-2-5Record3-6-1
11Points7
31Goals for27
35Goals against35
-4Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Nashville Predators NSH 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 7 wins
Total goals18 – 28
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game1.8 / 2.8
Shots per game27.0 / 30.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 16, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 4 21 - 22 View
Nov 14, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 2 17 - 30 View
Feb 1, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 3 25 - 36 View
Dec 19, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
5 - 4 20 - 26 View
Apr 15, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 4 30 - 38 View
Nov 28, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 3 31 - 25 View
Mar 30, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 2 28 - 45 View
Feb 28, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 1 34 - 25 View
Apr 10, 2022
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 35 - 30 View
Mar 15, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 4 36 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NSH PIT