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Nashville Predators vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 10, 2026.

October 10, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Nashville Predators

4-3-5

2 Model pick
Final
Home

Ottawa Senators

8-5-0

3
Model V2 pick: Nashville Predators at 53.6% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Nashville Predators logo
Away team

Nashville Predators

53.6%
Fair American -116
Fair decimal 1.87
Best market +140 · Bovada
Market implied 41.7%
Edge +11.9%
Expected value +28.6%
Calculate value
Ottawa Senators logo
Home team

Ottawa Senators

46.4%
Fair American +116
Fair decimal 2.16
Best market -155 · BetMGM
Market implied 60.8%
Edge -14.4%
Expected value -23.7%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 10, 2026.

Ottawa Senators

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.40
ROI
-19.9%

Value Picks

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.49
ROI
74.4%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Nashville Predators

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

23:52 together · 4 games

xG share62.1%
Corsi for / against
29 / 16
Fenwick for / against
21 / 14
Corsi share
64.4%
Fenwick share
60.0%
xG for / against
1.71 / 1.04
Defense pair

50:57 together · 4 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
44 / 53
Fenwick for / against
35 / 38
Corsi share
45.4%
Fenwick share
47.9%
xG for / against
1.89 / 2.33
All observed combinations

Ottawa Senators

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

28:18 together · 4 games

xG share41.3%
Corsi for / against
23 / 26
Fenwick for / against
17 / 22
Corsi share
46.9%
Fenwick share
43.6%
xG for / against
0.82 / 1.17
Defense pair

52:30 together · 4 games

xG share49.3%
Corsi for / against
55 / 65
Fenwick for / against
44 / 44
Corsi share
45.8%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
3.08 / 3.16
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Juuse Saros

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
32.3

Linus Ullmark

Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 8

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
68
Save %
95.6
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
42.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.47
xG against / game
3.44
xG differential / game
-0.96

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Ottawa Senators

xG for / game
3.15
xG against / game
3.31
xG differential / game
-0.16

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
48.8
Corsi share (%)
42.5
Fenwick share (%)
42.7
Faceoff win %
48.0
Penalties / game
2.75

Shots / game: 22.8 · Shooting: 13.2% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Ottawa Senators

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
51.5
Corsi share (%)
46.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.6
Faceoff win %
52.7
Penalties / game
5.75

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
13Points16
0.542Points %0.615
34Goals for39
39Goals against38
-5Goal differential1
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Nashville Predators NSH road
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT home
5Games7
1Wins5
5Points10
-6Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
3-2-5Record6-4-0
11Points12
31Goals for29
35Goals against30
-4Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Nashville Predators NSH 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Ottawa Senators OTT 4 wins
Total goals31 – 23
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game3.1 / 2.3
Shots per game31.1 / 32.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 22, 2026
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 5 26 - 26 View
Oct 13, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
4 - 1 26 - 32 View
Feb 3, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
5 - 2 39 - 27 View
Dec 7, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
1 - 3 37 - 30 View
Feb 27, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 4 25 - 36 View
Jan 29, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 4 28 - 35 View
Jan 9, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 0 36 - 38 View
Dec 10, 2022
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 2 33 - 29 View
Apr 7, 2022
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 2 34 - 29 View
Mar 29, 2022
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 4 37 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NSH OTT