Away team
Nashville Predators
43.4%
Fair American
+130
Fair decimal
2.3
Nashville Predators vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 25, 2026
NHL matchup
Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 25, 2026.
November 25, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Dallas Stars at 56.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Dallas Stars
56.6%
Fair American
-130
Fair decimal
1.77
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 25, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -1.46
- ROI
- -24.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 3-6
- Net units
- -1.46
- ROI
- -16.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 0-2
- Net units
- -2.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- -0.45
- ROI
- -4.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Nashville Predators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
45:15 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 31
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 19
- Corsi share
- 60.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.7%
- xG for / against
- 2.24 / 1.10
Defense pair
102:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 108
- Fenwick for / against
- 78 / 80
- Corsi share
- 48.6%
- Fenwick share
- 49.4%
- xG for / against
- 6.27 / 5.53
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
46:49 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 42 / 39
- Fenwick for / against
- 29 / 21
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 58.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.54 / 0.89
Defense pair
84:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 83 / 61
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 38
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.20 / 2.10
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Nashville Predators
Expected starter unavailable.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Juuse Saros
Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 147
- Save %
- 89.8
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 28.6
Casey DeSmith
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 27
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 80
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 35.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Nashville Predators
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.45
- xG differential / game
- -0.30
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.29
- xG against / game
- 2.64
- xG differential / game
- 0.66
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Nashville Predators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.1
- Faceoff win %
- 56.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NSH
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.625 |
| 34 | Goals for | 33 |
| 39 | Goals against | 25 |
| -5 | Goal differential | 8 |
| OT1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
NSH road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Points | 8 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
NSH
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-2-5 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 11 | Points | 15 |
| 31 | Goals for | 32 |
| 35 | Goals against | 19 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 13 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NSH
4 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
6 wins
Total goals31 – 35
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game3.1 / 3.5
Shots per game29.1 / 28.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Nashville Predators
|
1 - 2 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Nashville Predators
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 25 | View |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Nashville Predators
|
5 - 4 | 22 - 21 | View |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Nashville Predators
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 25 | View |
| Apr 16, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Nashville Predators
|
1 - 5 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Apr 3, 2025 |
Nashville Predators
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 5 | 29 - 27 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Nashville Predators
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 1 | 26 - 36 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Nashville Predators
|
4 - 3 | 20 - 36 | View |
| Feb 15, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Nashville Predators
|
9 - 2 | 41 - 29 | View |
| Jan 12, 2024 |
Nashville Predators
at
Dallas Stars
|
6 - 3 | 38 - 22 | View |