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Nashville Predators vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 5, 2026

NHL matchup

Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 5, 2026.

November 5, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Away

Nashville Predators

4-3-5

37.3%
at
Home

Colorado Avalanche

6-5-1

62.7% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Colorado Avalanche at 62.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Nashville Predators logo
Away team

Nashville Predators

37.3%
Fair American +168
Fair decimal 2.68
Calculate value
Colorado Avalanche logo
Home team

Colorado Avalanche

62.7%
Fair American -168
Fair decimal 1.59
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 5, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

45:15 together · 9 games

xG share67.0%
Corsi for / against
48 / 31
Fenwick for / against
32 / 19
Corsi share
60.8%
Fenwick share
62.7%
xG for / against
2.24 / 1.10
Defense pair

102:48 together · 10 games

xG share53.1%
Corsi for / against
102 / 108
Fenwick for / against
78 / 80
Corsi share
48.6%
Fenwick share
49.4%
xG for / against
6.27 / 5.53
All observed combinations

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

104:07 together · 9 games

xG share57.4%
Corsi for / against
134 / 93
Fenwick for / against
95 / 73
Corsi share
59.0%
Fenwick share
56.5%
xG for / against
6.11 / 4.54
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Juuse Saros

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
148
Save %
89.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
29.1

Scott Wedgewood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
27.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
3.15
xG against / game
3.45
xG differential / game
-0.30

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
2.88
xG differential / game
0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.8
Corsi share (%)
47.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.7
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
51.4
Faceoff win %
46.2
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
13Points13
0.542Points %0.542
34Goals for49
39Goals against40
-5Goal differential9
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Nashville Predators NSH road
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL home
5Games6
1Wins4
5Points9
-6Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
3-2-5Record4-5-1
11Points9
31Goals for35
35Goals against35
-4Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Nashville Predators NSH 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Colorado Avalanche COL 5 wins
Total goals34 – 33
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.4 / 3.3
Shots per game30.4 / 34.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 25, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 6 21 - 35 View
Jan 16, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
7 - 3 30 - 42 View
Dec 13, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 4 29 - 41 View
Dec 9, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 4 42 - 28 View
Nov 22, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 0 26 - 35 View
Feb 22, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 2 32 - 17 View
Dec 14, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 5 39 - 33 View
Nov 11, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 30 - 32 View
Nov 2, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 5 31 - 26 View
Mar 30, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 7 35 - 42 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NSH COL