Away team
Nashville Predators
44.6%
Fair American
+124
Fair decimal
2.24
Nashville Predators vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2027
NHL matchup
Nashville Predators at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2027.
January 16, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Buffalo Sabres at 55.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Buffalo Sabres
55.4%
Fair American
-124
Fair decimal
1.81
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 16, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 2-5
- Net units
- -2.46
- ROI
- -35.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 4-7
- Net units
- -1.04
- ROI
- -9.5%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 0-2
- Net units
- -2.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.11
- ROI
- -1.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 1-5
- Net units
- -4.07
- ROI
- -67.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 1.65
- ROI
- 23.6%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Nashville Predators
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsBuffalo Sabres
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Nashville Predators
Expected starter unavailable.
Buffalo Sabres
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Juuse Saros
Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 29
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 151
- Save %
- 90.7
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 28.5
Colten Ellis
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Oct 29
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 117
- Save %
- 88.0
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 28.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Nashville Predators
- xG for / game
- 3.16
- xG against / game
- 3.27
- xG differential / game
- -0.12
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.19
- xG against / game
- 3.94
- xG differential / game
- -0.76
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Nashville Predators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.4
- Faceoff win %
- 51.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 31.6 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.0
- Faceoff win %
- 45.8
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NSH
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.577 |
| 37 | Goals for | 40 |
| 43 | Goals against | 47 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
NSH road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Points | 6 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
NSH
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-3-4 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 10 | Points | 11 |
| 30 | Goals for | 30 |
| 34 | Goals against | 36 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NSH
4 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
6 wins
Total goals34 – 35
Goal differential
-1
/
+1
Goals per game3.4 / 3.5
Shots per game28.9 / 29.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 |
Nashville Predators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 24 | View |
| Jan 20, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Nashville Predators
|
5 - 3 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Nashville Predators
|
4 - 6 | 29 - 23 | View |
| Jan 31, 2025 |
Nashville Predators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Nashville Predators
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 24 | View |
| Dec 3, 2023 |
Nashville Predators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 1 | 29 - 35 | View |
| Mar 21, 2023 |
Nashville Predators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
7 - 3 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Jan 14, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Nashville Predators
|
5 - 3 | 33 - 41 | View |
| Apr 1, 2022 |
Nashville Predators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 35 | View |
| Jan 13, 2022 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Nashville Predators
|
4 - 1 | 21 - 30 | View |