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Nashville Predators vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 22, 2026.

October 22, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Nashville Predators

4-3-4

0
Final
Home

Boston Bruins

9-2-1

6 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Boston Bruins at 58.2% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Nashville Predators logo
Away team

Nashville Predators

41.8%
Fair American +139
Fair decimal 2.39
Best market +125 · Bovada
Market implied 44.4%
Edge -2.6%
Expected value -5.9%
Calculate value
Boston Bruins logo
Home team

Boston Bruins

58.2%
Fair American -139
Fair decimal 1.72
Best market -140 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 58.3%
Edge -0.1%
Expected value -0.2%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 22, 2026.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
6
Record
4-2
Net units
1.79
ROI
29.8%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
0.79
ROI
11.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
4-0
Net units
3.44
ROI
86.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Nashville Predators

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

47:42 together · 8 games

xG share59.2%
Corsi for / against
52 / 43
Fenwick for / against
35 / 32
Corsi share
54.7%
Fenwick share
52.2%
xG for / against
2.41 / 1.66
Defense pair

89:59 together · 8 games

xG share42.3%
Corsi for / against
78 / 99
Fenwick for / against
57 / 70
Corsi share
44.1%
Fenwick share
44.9%
xG for / against
3.02 / 4.11
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

54:16 together · 8 games

xG share53.5%
Corsi for / against
57 / 56
Fenwick for / against
37 / 38
Corsi share
50.4%
Fenwick share
49.3%
xG for / against
3.04 / 2.64
Defense pair

93:35 together · 6 games

xG share59.2%
Corsi for / against
88 / 75
Fenwick for / against
65 / 59
Corsi share
54.0%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
4.52 / 3.11
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Nashville Predators

Juuse Saros 68.2%
Other eligible goalies

Why Juuse Saros?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.854
Days since last start
+0.436
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.413
Team win pct before
+0.270
Started last game
-0.248
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 22, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Boston Bruins

Jeremy Swayman 78.0%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jeremy Swayman?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.160
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.429
Started last game
-0.285
Team win pct before
-0.273
Consecutive starts
-0.194
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 22, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Juuse Saros

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
29.4

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 20

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
93.6
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
34.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.72
xG against / game
3.06
xG differential / game
-0.35

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
3.10
xG differential / game
-0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
53.4
Corsi share (%)
45.9
Fenwick share (%)
46.5
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.9
Corsi share (%)
46.3
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
52.7
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 14.5% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
12Points19
0.545Points %0.792
31Goals for48
35Goals against26
-4Goal differential22
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Nashville Predators NSH road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
5Games6
1Wins5
5Points10
-6Goal differential17
Last 10 games
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
4-2-4Record7-2-1
12Points15
30Goals for41
32Goals against23
-2Goal differential18
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Nashville Predators NSH 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 6 wins
Total goals25 – 27
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game2.5 / 2.7
Shots per game32.0 / 31.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 5, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 6 23 - 29 View
Jan 27, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 3 30 - 28 View
Mar 4, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
6 - 3 30 - 21 View
Oct 22, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
0 - 4 33 - 42 View
Apr 2, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 0 32 - 31 View
Oct 14, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 3 36 - 30 View
Mar 28, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 1 23 - 36 View
Feb 16, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
5 - 0 30 - 28 View
Jan 15, 2022
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 29 - 44 View
Dec 2, 2021
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 0 33 - 42 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NSH BOS