Forward trio
98:53 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 100
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 70
- Corsi share
- 48.5%
- Fenwick share
- 48.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.71 / 4.46
Montréal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 4, 2026
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 4, 2026.
February 4, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
105:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 125 / 115
- Fenwick for / against
- 86 / 72
- Corsi share
- 52.1%
- Fenwick share
- 54.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.72 / 4.76
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
93:57 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 86 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 60 / 57
- Corsi share
- 51.5%
- Fenwick share
- 51.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.88 / 2.62
Defense pair
145:11 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 142 / 129
- Fenwick for / against
- 109 / 95
- Corsi share
- 52.4%
- Fenwick share
- 53.4%
- xG for / against
- 6.93 / 4.84
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jakub Dobes
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Feb 2
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 145
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 30.3
Connor Hellebuyck
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Feb 2
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 143
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 30.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 2.92
- xG against / game
- 3.61
- xG differential / game
- -0.69
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.59
- xG against / game
- 2.84
- xG differential / game
- -0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.0
- Faceoff win %
- 55.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.0
- Faceoff win %
- 48.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 25.0 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 11 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 38 | Goals for | 28 |
| 36 | Goals against | 36 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -8 |
| W3 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
WPG home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 5 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -7 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 30 | Goals for | 22 |
| 28 | Goals against | 30 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
WPG
5 wins
Total goals30 – 34
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game3.0 / 3.4
Shots per game28.4 / 30.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 3 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Jan 28, 2025 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 25 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Dec 18, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 2 | 26 - 32 | View |
| Oct 28, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 4 | 45 - 29 | View |
| Jan 17, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
1 - 4 | 26 - 28 | View |
| Nov 3, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 3 | 22 - 36 | View |
| Apr 11, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 2 | 35 - 25 | View |
| Mar 1, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
4 - 8 | 35 - 30 | View |
| Apr 30, 2021 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 5 | 22 - 35 | View |