Montréal Canadiens vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 3, 2026.

October 3, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Montréal Canadiens

48-24-10
at
Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

41-25-16
Model favourite Pittsburgh Penguins at 54.4%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Montréal Canadiens logo
Away team

Montréal Canadiens

45.6%
Fair American +119
Fair decimal 2.19
Best market -110 · DraftKings
Market implied 52.4%
Edge -6.8%
Expected value -12.9%
Calculate value
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Home team

Pittsburgh Penguins

54.4%
Fair American -119
Fair decimal 1.84
Best market -110 · DraftKings
Market implied 52.4%
Edge +2.0%
Expected value +3.9%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
106Points98
0.646Points %0.598
283Goals for293
256Goals against268
27Goal differential25
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Montréal Canadiens MTL road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
41Games41
24Wins20
56Points48
17Goal differential7
Last 10 games
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
7-3-0Record5-5-0
14Points10
28Goals for46
24Goals against40
4Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Montréal Canadiens MTL 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 7 wins
Total goals29 – 39
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game2.9 / 3.9
Shots per game27.4 / 32.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 21, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 4 25 - 31 View
Dec 20, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
0 - 4 31 - 21 View
Dec 11, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 2 29 - 38 View
Dec 12, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
9 - 2 33 - 23 View
Nov 2, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 3 26 - 24 View
Oct 14, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
6 - 3 30 - 28 View
Feb 22, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 4 31 - 27 View
Jan 27, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 27 - 33 View
Dec 13, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 3 30 - 42 View
Mar 14, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 4 22 - 43 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MTL PIT