Away team
Montréal Canadiens
39.6%
Fair American
+153
Fair decimal
2.53
Montréal Canadiens vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 18, 2026
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 18, 2026.
November 18, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
New Jersey Devils at 60.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New Jersey Devils
60.4%
Fair American
-153
Fair decimal
1.66
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 18, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 3.39
- ROI
- 48.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.83
- ROI
- 27.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 15.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- -0.35
- ROI
- -3.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.28
- ROI
- 5.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.65
- ROI
- 7.2%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
82:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 45
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 35
- Corsi share
- 68.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.26 / 1.88
Defense pair
108:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 165 / 82
- Fenwick for / against
- 127 / 61
- Corsi share
- 66.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.88 / 4.78
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:30 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 54
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 37
- Corsi share
- 65.4%
- Fenwick share
- 64.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.68 / 2.12
Defense pair
159:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 196 / 128
- Fenwick for / against
- 127 / 85
- Corsi share
- 60.5%
- Fenwick share
- 59.9%
- xG for / against
- 7.59 / 5.27
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Montréal Canadiens
Expected starter unavailable.
New Jersey Devils
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 93.7
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Jake Allen
New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 89.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 26.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 3.11
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New Jersey Devils
- xG for / game
- 3.50
- xG against / game
- 2.42
- xG differential / game
- 1.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.5
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 5.5
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
New Jersey Devils
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 68.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 58.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.7
- Faceoff win %
- 51.3
- Penalties / game
- 2.7
Shots / game: 33.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Points | 14 |
| 0.636 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 36 | Goals for | 36 |
| 36 | Goals against | 32 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 4 |
| W2 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
NJD home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 8 |
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Points | 12 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
NJD
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 33 | Goals for | 33 |
| 34 | Goals against | 30 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
2 wins
10
games reviewed
NJD
8 wins
Total goals22 – 37
Goal differential
-15
/
+15
Goals per game2.2 / 3.7
Shots per game26.0 / 30.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 0 | 20 - 18 | View |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New Jersey Devils
|
4 - 3 | 29 - 38 | View |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 28 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 0 | 22 - 34 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 3 | 44 - 32 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 5 | 24 - 27 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 24 | View |
| Jan 17, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
New Jersey Devils
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 2 | 34 - 29 | View |
| Mar 11, 2023 |
New Jersey Devils
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 1 | 37 - 24 | View |