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Montréal Canadiens vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 2, 2026

NHL matchup

Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 2, 2026.

February 2, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

116:20 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
141 / 125
Fenwick for / against
99 / 78
Corsi share
53.0%
Fenwick share
55.9%
xG for / against
7.25 / 5.62
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

189:15 together · 10 games

xG share47.6%
Corsi for / against
187 / 177
Fenwick for / against
128 / 129
Corsi share
51.4%
Fenwick share
49.8%
xG for / against
8.62 / 9.49
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jakub Dobes

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Jan 31

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
144
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.6

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Jan 31

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
156
Save %
86.5
Goals allowed
21
Close-range shots %
34.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.24
xG against / game
3.61
xG differential / game
-0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.22
xG against / game
3.28
xG differential / game
-0.06

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.9
Corsi share (%)
48.7
Fenwick share (%)
50.6
Faceoff win %
55.9
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.7
Corsi share (%)
48.9
Fenwick share (%)
48.3
Faceoff win %
46.1
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 13.5% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
16Points20
0.667Points %0.714
38Goals for44
36Goals against31
2Goal differential13
W3Current streakW3
Road versus home
Montréal Canadiens MTL road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
6Games4
4Wins4
9Points8
5Goal differential7
Last 10 games
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
6-3-1Record7-2-1
13Points15
30Goals for33
28Goals against23
2Goal differential10
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Montréal Canadiens MTL 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 9 wins
Total goals16 – 40
Goal differential -24 / +24
Goals per game1.6 / 4.0
Shots per game26.6 / 29.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 20, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 4 19 - 33 View
Jan 30, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 0 27 - 19 View
Nov 14, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 3 19 - 28 View
Dec 21, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 4 25 - 24 View
Oct 17, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2 35 - 28 View
Nov 1, 2022
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 4 35 - 31 View
Oct 25, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 1 31 - 27 View
Apr 19, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 0 30 - 26 View
Jan 24, 2022
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 8 21 - 39 View
Oct 20, 2019
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 4 33 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.