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Montréal Canadiens vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 7, 2026

NHL matchup

Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 7, 2026.

March 7, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

110:47 together · 10 games

xG share33.8%
Corsi for / against
79 / 130
Fenwick for / against
54 / 99
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
35.3%
xG for / against
3.54 / 6.93
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:29 together · 8 games

xG share34.8%
Corsi for / against
52 / 69
Fenwick for / against
39 / 38
Corsi share
43.0%
Fenwick share
50.6%
xG for / against
1.50 / 2.81
Defense pair

117:44 together · 10 games

xG share29.9%
Corsi for / against
111 / 143
Fenwick for / against
74 / 105
Corsi share
43.7%
Fenwick share
41.3%
xG for / against
3.34 / 7.84
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Sam Montembeault

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Mar 6

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
87.1
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
31.1

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Mar 5

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
87.2
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
35.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.35
xG against / game
3.74
xG differential / game
-0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.41
xG against / game
3.24
xG differential / game
-0.83

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.6
Corsi share (%)
47.9
Fenwick share (%)
48.0
Faceoff win %
54.1
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 16.2% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.8
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
48.6
Faceoff win %
46.0
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
14Points6
0.636Points %0.333
36Goals for21
36Goals against32
0Goal differential-11
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Montréal Canadiens MTL road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
5Games3
3Wins0
7Points0
3Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
5-3-2Record2-5-2
12Points6
33Goals for21
34Goals against32
-1Goal differential-11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Montréal Canadiens MTL 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 9 wins
Total goals16 – 40
Goal differential -24 / +24
Goals per game1.6 / 4.0
Shots per game25.5 / 34.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 11, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 1 26 - 22 View
Feb 5, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 6 21 - 37 View
Oct 17, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 1 32 - 27 View
Dec 7, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 0 42 - 24 View
Nov 25, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 4 18 - 30 View
Mar 2, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 21 - 33 View
Dec 10, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 2 35 - 22 View
Nov 9, 2021
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 2 34 - 35 View
Oct 30, 2021
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 5 28 - 38 View
Nov 9, 2019
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 33 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.