Skip to content

Montréal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Montréal Canadiens at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 24, 2026.

January 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

132:54 together · 10 games

xG share56.7%
Corsi for / against
150 / 141
Fenwick for / against
106 / 95
Corsi share
51.5%
Fenwick share
52.7%
xG for / against
7.90 / 6.02
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

115:36 together · 10 games

xG share52.2%
Corsi for / against
119 / 111
Fenwick for / against
77 / 81
Corsi share
51.7%
Fenwick share
48.7%
xG for / against
5.37 / 4.92
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Sam Montembeault

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Jan 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
146
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
39.7

Joonas Korpisalo

Boston Bruins · Last start: Jan 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
116
Save %
94.8
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
32.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
3.34
xG differential / game
-0.02

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.19
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.7
Corsi share (%)
49.8
Fenwick share (%)
52.1
Faceoff win %
51.5
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.9% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.3
Corsi share (%)
49.0
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
51.2
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 14.5% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
14Points19
0.636Points %0.792
36Goals for48
36Goals against26
0Goal differential22
W2Current streakW2
Road versus home
Montréal Canadiens MTL road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
5Games6
3Wins5
7Points10
3Goal differential17
Last 10 games
Montréal Canadiens MTL
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
5-3-2Record7-2-1
12Points15
33Goals for41
34Goals against23
-1Goal differential18
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Montréal Canadiens MTL 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 7 wins
Total goals33 – 41
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game3.3 / 4.1
Shots per game26.4 / 28.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 23, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
6 - 2 29 - 28 View
Nov 15, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 2 23 - 28 View
Apr 3, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
1 - 4 19 - 32 View
Dec 1, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 6 28 - 30 View
Oct 10, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 6 24 - 29 View
Mar 14, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 1 24 - 19 View
Jan 20, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 9 21 - 36 View
Nov 18, 2023
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 5 22 - 44 View
Nov 11, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 3 28 - 27 View
Apr 13, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 4 21 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.