Forward trio
120:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 133 / 119
- Fenwick for / against
- 101 / 86
- Corsi share
- 52.8%
- Fenwick share
- 54.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.74 / 6.36
Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2026
NHL matchup
Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2026.
March 6, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
181:08 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 199 / 174
- Fenwick for / against
- 145 / 122
- Corsi share
- 53.4%
- Fenwick share
- 54.3%
- xG for / against
- 10.60 / 8.52
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
56:40 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 59 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 43 / 29
- Corsi share
- 60.8%
- Fenwick share
- 59.7%
- xG for / against
- 2.74 / 1.80
Defense pair
129:36 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 123 / 114
- Fenwick for / against
- 87 / 83
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 51.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.56 / 4.60
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Filip Gustavsson
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Mar 3
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 148
- Save %
- 91.9
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 23.6
Adin Hill
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Mar 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 122
- Save %
- 86.9
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 29.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.22
- xG against / game
- 3.24
- xG differential / game
- -0.02
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.09
- xG against / game
- 2.60
- xG differential / game
- 0.49
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.7
- Faceoff win %
- 45.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 14.9% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.9
- Faceoff win %
- 50.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.0
Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 12.3% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MIN
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 17 |
| 0.692 | Points % | 0.654 |
| 41 | Goals for | 47 |
| 30 | Goals against | 38 |
| 11 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W2 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
MIN road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 10 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
MIN
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 13 | Points | 13 |
| 32 | Goals for | 36 |
| 25 | Goals against | 30 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MIN
3 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
7 wins
Total goals24 – 36
Goal differential
-12
/
+12
Goals per game2.4 / 3.6
Shots per game26.9 / 30.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 2 | 27 - 16 | View |
| Nov 16, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 28 | View |
| Mar 25, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Minnesota Wild
|
5 - 1 | 38 - 24 | View |
| Jan 12, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 4 | 16 - 37 | View |
| Dec 15, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 2 | 27 - 22 | View |
| Apr 12, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 7 | 27 - 30 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Feb 12, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 3 | 29 - 30 | View |
| Apr 3, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 3 | 26 - 33 | View |
| Apr 1, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 4 | 30 - 43 | View |