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Minnesota Wild vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 27, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 27, 2026.

October 27, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Away

Minnesota Wild

8-3-2

34.6%
at
Home

Utah Mammoth

8-4-0

65.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Utah Mammoth at 65.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

34.6%
Fair American +189
Fair decimal 2.89
Best market +110 · BetRivers
Market implied 47.6%
Edge -13.0%
Expected value -27.3%
Calculate value
Utah Mammoth logo
Home team

Utah Mammoth

65.4%
Fair American -189
Fair decimal 1.53
Best market -120 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 54.5%
Edge +10.9%
Expected value +19.9%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 27, 2026.

Utah Mammoth

All Model Picks

Bets
11
Record
7-4
Net units
1.27
ROI
11.6%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
5-2
Net units
2.46
ROI
35.2%

Market Favourite

Bets
9
Record
6-3
Net units
1.21
ROI
13.5%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

122:28 together · 10 games

xG share71.8%
Corsi for / against
150 / 75
Fenwick for / against
116 / 59
Corsi share
66.7%
Fenwick share
66.3%
xG for / against
9.98 / 3.91
Defense pair

95:23 together · 10 games

xG share67.5%
Corsi for / against
119 / 65
Fenwick for / against
93 / 44
Corsi share
64.7%
Fenwick share
67.9%
xG for / against
7.35 / 3.54
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

69:58 together · 7 games

xG share77.8%
Corsi for / against
101 / 56
Fenwick for / against
75 / 37
Corsi share
64.3%
Fenwick share
67.0%
xG for / against
6.21 / 1.77
Defense pair

119:15 together · 10 games

xG share61.9%
Corsi for / against
146 / 103
Fenwick for / against
100 / 71
Corsi share
58.6%
Fenwick share
58.5%
xG for / against
7.66 / 4.72
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Minnesota Wild

Jesper Wallstedt 92.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jesper Wallstedt?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.320
Days since last start
+0.492
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.475
Consecutive starts
+0.357
Started last game
+0.330
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 27, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Utah Mammoth

Karel Vejmelka 71.0%
Other eligible goalies

Why Karel Vejmelka?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.958
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.498
Team win pct before
-0.365
Days since last start
+0.324
Rolling 5 game avg save pct
-0.284
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 27, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Calvin Pickard

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 25

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
42
Save %
83.3
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
23.8

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
124
Save %
84.7
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
26.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.95
xG against / game
2.76
xG differential / game
1.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.73
xG against / game
2.81
xG differential / game
0.92

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.5
Corsi share (%)
54.9
Fenwick share (%)
57.4
Faceoff win %
51.6
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 32.7 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.4
Corsi share (%)
55.3
Fenwick share (%)
55.3
Faceoff win %
53.6
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
18Points16
0.692Points %0.667
41Goals for46
30Goals against40
11Goal differential6
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
9Games5
4Wins4
10Points8
4Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
6-3-1Record6-4-0
13Points12
32Goals for36
25Goals against39
7Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 1 wins
3 games reviewed
Utah Mammoth UTA 2 wins
Total goals9 – 11
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game3.0 / 3.67
Shots per game29.3 / 34.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 10, 2026
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 5 25 - 30 View
Feb 27, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth
2 - 5 23 - 37 View
Oct 25, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
6 - 2 41 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MIN UTA