Away team
Minnesota Wild
38.9%
Fair American
+157
Fair decimal
2.57
Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 24, 2026
NHL matchup
Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 24, 2026.
March 24, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 61.1%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
61.1%
Fair American
-157
Fair decimal
1.64
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MIN
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 104 | Points | 106 |
| 0.634 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 272 | Goals for | 290 |
| 240 | Goals against | 231 |
| 32 | Goal differential | 59 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
MIN road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 23 | Wins | 26 |
| 50 | Points | 53 |
| 17 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
MIN
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 36 | Goals for | 26 |
| 32 | Goals against | 30 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MIN
6 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
4 wins
Total goals36 – 31
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.6 / 3.1
Shots per game27.8 / 29.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 5 | 25 - 22 | View |
| Nov 1, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 22 | View |
| Oct 24, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 2 | 18 - 26 | View |
| Jan 18, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 7 | 33 - 38 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 1 | 30 - 23 | View |
| Jan 24, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
2 - 4 | 35 - 39 | View |
| Jan 4, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 5 | 35 - 33 | View |
| Nov 28, 2021 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 4 | 30 - 37 | View |
| Nov 21, 2021 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 5 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Jan 16, 2020 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 20 - 23 | View |