Forward trio
90:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 77 / 62
- Corsi share
- 55.9%
- Fenwick share
- 55.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.24 / 3.10
Minnesota Wild vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 20, 2026
NHL matchup
Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 20, 2026.
January 20, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
182:52 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 207 / 167
- Fenwick for / against
- 144 / 126
- Corsi share
- 55.3%
- Fenwick share
- 53.3%
- xG for / against
- 8.88 / 7.45
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
105:06 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 118 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 86 / 58
- Corsi share
- 58.4%
- Fenwick share
- 59.7%
- xG for / against
- 6.32 / 3.78
Defense pair
123:45 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 110 / 104
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 66
- Corsi share
- 51.4%
- Fenwick share
- 54.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.17 / 4.98
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Filip Gustavsson
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Jan 19
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 123
- Save %
- 88.6
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 31.7
Sam Montembeault
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Jan 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 160
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 41.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.59
- xG against / game
- 3.02
- xG differential / game
- 0.58
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.34
- xG against / game
- 3.44
- xG differential / game
- -0.10
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 68.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.7
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 32.2 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.0
- Faceoff win %
- 49.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 14.2% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MIN
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 14 |
| 0.692 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 41 | Goals for | 36 |
| 30 | Goals against | 36 |
| 11 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
MIN road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 10 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
MIN
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 32 | Goals for | 33 |
| 25 | Goals against | 34 |
| 7 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MIN
9 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
1 wins
Total goals37 – 16
Goal differential
+21
/
-21
Goals per game3.7 / 1.6
Shots per game29.5 / 26.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 0 | 27 - 19 | View |
| Nov 14, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
0 - 3 | 19 - 28 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 24 | View |
| Oct 17, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 2 | 35 - 28 | View |
| Nov 1, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 4 | 35 - 31 | View |
| Oct 25, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 1 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Apr 19, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 0 | 30 - 26 | View |
| Jan 24, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 8 | 21 - 39 | View |
| Oct 20, 2019 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 33 | View |
| Oct 17, 2019 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
0 - 4 | 17 - 33 | View |