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Minnesota Wild vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 5, 2027

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 5, 2027.

January 5, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Minnesota Wild

9-3-2

53.8% Model pick
at
Home

Anaheim Ducks

5-6-1

46.2%
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 53.8%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

53.8%
Fair American -116
Fair decimal 1.86
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 5, 2027.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
1.13
ROI
16.1%

Value Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
3.94
ROI
78.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-1.15
ROI
-38.4%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

122:56 together · 10 games

xG share70.7%
Corsi for / against
156 / 79
Fenwick for / against
120 / 63
Corsi share
66.4%
Fenwick share
65.6%
xG for / against
9.91 / 4.10
Defense pair

95:18 together · 10 games

xG share68.4%
Corsi for / against
126 / 62
Fenwick for / against
98 / 42
Corsi share
67.0%
Fenwick share
70.0%
xG for / against
7.48 / 3.46
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

34:28 together · 5 games

xG share60.5%
Corsi for / against
35 / 32
Fenwick for / against
23 / 20
Corsi share
52.2%
Fenwick share
53.5%
xG for / against
2.09 / 1.36
Defense pair

97:22 together · 10 games

xG share38.7%
Corsi for / against
87 / 99
Fenwick for / against
61 / 69
Corsi share
46.8%
Fenwick share
46.9%
xG for / against
3.88 / 6.14
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
120
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
31.7

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
147
Save %
86.4
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
36.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.93
xG against / game
2.71
xG differential / game
1.21

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.93
xG against / game
3.68
xG differential / game
-0.75

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.7
Corsi share (%)
55.3
Fenwick share (%)
57.8
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.4
Corsi share (%)
49.0
Fenwick share (%)
48.9
Faceoff win %
46.5
Penalties / game
5.1

Shots / game: 24.2 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
20Points11
0.714Points %0.458
44Goals for37
31Goals against43
13Goal differential-6
W3Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
10Games5
5Wins1
12Points3
6Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
7-2-1Record3-6-1
15Points7
33Goals for30
23Goals against38
10Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 1 wins
Total goals35 – 13
Goal differential +22 / -22
Goals per game3.5 / 1.3
Shots per game33.0 / 27.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 14, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 37 - 20 View
Jan 2, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 2 34 - 28 View
Nov 15, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 2 28 - 30 View
Apr 15, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 29 - 40 View
Dec 6, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 1 33 - 27 View
Nov 8, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 2 31 - 35 View
Mar 19, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 0 32 - 27 View
Mar 14, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 2 16 - 31 View
Jan 27, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 2 25 - 37 View
Dec 21, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 1 42 - 22 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MIN ANA