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Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 25, 2027

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 25, 2027.

March 25, 2027 · 8:00 PM CST
Away

Los Angeles Kings

2-5-2

50.3% Model pick
at
Home

Calgary Flames

4-6-0

49.7%
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 50.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

50.3%
Fair American -101
Fair decimal 1.99
Calculate value
Calgary Flames logo
Home team

Calgary Flames

49.7%
Fair American +101
Fair decimal 2.01
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 25, 2027.

Calgary Flames

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-0.25
ROI
-8.3%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
4-6
Net units
0.40
ROI
4.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

68:17 together · 7 games

xG share64.8%
Corsi for / against
95 / 56
Fenwick for / against
66 / 40
Corsi share
62.9%
Fenwick share
62.3%
xG for / against
4.19 / 2.27
All observed combinations

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:06 together · 7 games

xG share54.9%
Corsi for / against
58 / 49
Fenwick for / against
42 / 35
Corsi share
54.2%
Fenwick share
54.5%
xG for / against
2.28 / 1.88
Defense pair

112:12 together · 10 games

xG share54.1%
Corsi for / against
125 / 98
Fenwick for / against
91 / 73
Corsi share
56.1%
Fenwick share
55.5%
xG for / against
5.70 / 4.83
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 24

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
85
Save %
89.4
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
24.7

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
159
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
26.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
-0.20

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.61
xG against / game
3.37
xG differential / game
-0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
49.6
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
51.0
Penalties / game
4.33

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.2
Corsi share (%)
49.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.9
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 8.0% · Avg distance: 33.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
6Points8
0.333Points %0.400
21Goals for23
32Goals against39
-11Goal differential-16
L1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY home
6Games6
2Wins3
6Points6
-4Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
2-5-2Record4-6-0
6Points8
21Goals for23
32Goals against39
-11Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Calgary Flames CGY 8 wins
Total goals17 – 27
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game1.7 / 2.7
Shots per game27.4 / 28.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 16, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 28 - 21 View
Mar 24, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 3 25 - 23 View
Feb 28, 2026
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 2 29 - 37 View
Dec 13, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 38 - 21 View
Apr 17, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 1 29 - 31 View
Jan 11, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 2 32 - 18 View
Nov 11, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 29 - 28 View
Apr 11, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 23 - 30 View
Mar 30, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 18 - 35 View
Feb 27, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 23 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK CGY