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Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2027

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2027.

January 16, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Los Angeles Kings

3-6-2

45.1%
at
Home

Calgary Flames

5-6-0

54.9% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Calgary Flames at 54.9%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

45.1%
Fair American +122
Fair decimal 2.22
Calculate value
Calgary Flames logo
Home team

Calgary Flames

54.9%
Fair American -122
Fair decimal 1.82
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 16, 2027.

Calgary Flames

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-0.25
ROI
-8.3%

Value Picks

Bets
11
Record
5-6
Net units
1.73
ROI
15.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

93:52 together · 9 games

xG share58.4%
Corsi for / against
128 / 98
Fenwick for / against
89 / 64
Corsi share
56.6%
Fenwick share
58.2%
xG for / against
5.49 / 3.92
All observed combinations

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

60:08 together · 8 games

xG share57.4%
Corsi for / against
69 / 51
Fenwick for / against
52 / 37
Corsi share
57.5%
Fenwick share
58.4%
xG for / against
2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair

113:54 together · 10 games

xG share54.4%
Corsi for / against
125 / 95
Fenwick for / against
92 / 72
Corsi share
56.8%
Fenwick share
56.1%
xG for / against
5.68 / 4.76
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
90.2
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
24.1

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
163
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
27.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.83
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
-0.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.71
xG against / game
3.19
xG differential / game
-0.47

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.6
Corsi share (%)
50.1
Fenwick share (%)
48.6
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
8Points10
0.364Points %0.455
28Goals for28
37Goals against41
-9Goal differential-13
L1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY home
8Games7
3Wins4
8Points8
-2Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
3-5-2Record5-5-0
8Points10
24Goals for27
29Goals against35
-5Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Calgary Flames CGY 8 wins
Total goals17 – 27
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game1.7 / 2.7
Shots per game27.4 / 28.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 16, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 28 - 21 View
Mar 24, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 3 25 - 23 View
Feb 28, 2026
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 2 29 - 37 View
Dec 13, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 38 - 21 View
Apr 17, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 1 29 - 31 View
Jan 11, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 2 32 - 18 View
Nov 11, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 29 - 28 View
Apr 11, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 23 - 30 View
Mar 30, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 18 - 35 View
Feb 27, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 23 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK CGY