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Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 16, 2026

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 16, 2026.

April 16, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

150:18 together · 10 games

xG share58.8%
Corsi for / against
156 / 120
Fenwick for / against
110 / 93
Corsi share
56.5%
Fenwick share
54.2%
xG for / against
6.66 / 4.67
All observed combinations

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

64:29 together · 8 games

xG share51.2%
Corsi for / against
50 / 77
Fenwick for / against
43 / 54
Corsi share
39.4%
Fenwick share
44.3%
xG for / against
3.01 / 2.87
Defense pair

113:20 together · 9 games

xG share51.8%
Corsi for / against
95 / 101
Fenwick for / against
72 / 79
Corsi share
48.5%
Fenwick share
47.7%
xG for / against
4.91 / 4.57
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Apr 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
114
Save %
83.3
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
34.2

Dustin Wolf

Calgary Flames · Last start: Apr 14

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
156
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
30.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.08
xG against / game
2.78
xG differential / game
0.30

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.50
xG against / game
3.74
xG differential / game
-1.24

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 16, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.8
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.6
Faceoff win %
56.0
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 30.7 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.8
Corsi share (%)
41.9
Fenwick share (%)
41.8
Faceoff win %
51.7
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
8Points10
0.364Points %0.417
28Goals for28
37Goals against45
-9Goal differential-17
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY home
8Games7
3Wins4
8Points8
-2Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
3-5-2Record5-5-0
8Points10
24Goals for26
29Goals against35
-5Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Calgary Flames CGY 7 wins
Total goals21 – 27
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game2.1 / 2.7
Shots per game28.0 / 29.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 24, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 3 25 - 23 View
Feb 28, 2026
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 2 29 - 37 View
Dec 13, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 38 - 21 View
Apr 17, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 1 29 - 31 View
Jan 11, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 2 32 - 18 View
Nov 11, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 29 - 28 View
Apr 11, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 23 - 30 View
Mar 30, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 18 - 35 View
Feb 27, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 4 23 - 37 View
Dec 23, 2023
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 5 32 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.