Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 5, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning matchup on February 5, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 60.1% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Tampa Bay Lightning
(60.1%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
February 5, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Florida Panthers
39.9%
Fair American: +151
Fair Decimal: 2.51
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
60.1%
Fair American: -151
Fair Decimal: 1.66
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 84 | Points | 106 |
| 0.512 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 251 | Goals For | 290 |
| 276 | Goals Against | 231 |
| -25 | Goal Differential | 59 |
| W3 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
FLA (Road)
|
Metric |
TBL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 17 | Wins | 26 |
| 35 | Points | 53 |
| -35 | Goal Differential | 22 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-4-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 11 | Points | 10 |
| 36 | Goals For | 26 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1 | Goal Differential | -4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
FLA
|
H2H Summary |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 5-5 |
| 30 | Total Goals | 30 |
| 0 | Goal Differential | 0 |
| 3.0 | Goals / Game | 3.0 |
| 29.9 | Shots / Game | 25.8 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Florida Panthers
@
|
4 - 2 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Dec 15, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
5 - 2 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Florida Panthers
@
|
3 - 1 | 20 - 23 | View |
| Apr 15, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
1 - 5 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 3, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Florida Panthers
@
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 29 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Florida Panthers
@
|
4 - 0 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Dec 22, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 2 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Florida Panthers
@
|
5 - 3 | 16 - 50 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
9 - 2 | 30 - 30 | View |
| Dec 27, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 29 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.