Away team
Florida Panthers
46.8%
Fair American
+114
Fair decimal
2.14
Florida Panthers vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 5, 2027
NHL matchup
Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 5, 2027.
January 5, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Calgary Flames at 53.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Calgary Flames
53.2%
Fair American
-114
Fair decimal
1.88
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 5, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 1-2
- Net units
- -0.25
- ROI
- -8.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 5-6
- Net units
- 1.73
- ROI
- 15.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Florida Panthers
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsCalgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
60:08 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 52 / 37
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.64 / 1.96
Defense pair
113:54 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 93 / 71
- Corsi share
- 57.3%
- Fenwick share
- 56.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.69 / 4.86
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Calgary Flames
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 96
- Save %
- 87.5
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.3
Devin Cooley
Calgary Flames · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.34
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.59
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Calgary Flames
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.20
- xG differential / game
- -0.48
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 5, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Florida Panthers
9 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.6
- Faceoff win %
- 44.4
- Penalties / game
- 5.89
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Calgary Flames
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.7
- Faceoff win %
- 48.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
FLA
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 10 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.455 |
| 39 | Goals for | 28 |
| 37 | Goals against | 41 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -13 |
| W2 | Current streak | W4 |
Road versus home
|
FLA road
|
Metric |
CGY home
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games | 7 |
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 12 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
FLA
|
Metric |
CGY
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 33 | Goals for | 27 |
| 30 | Goals against | 35 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
FLA
3 wins
10
games reviewed
CGY
7 wins
Total goals26 – 34
Goal differential
-8
/
+8
Goals per game2.6 / 3.4
Shots per game34.6 / 31.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 36 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 3 | 34 - 40 | View |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
Calgary Flames
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 3 | 23 - 42 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Calgary Flames
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Calgary Flames
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 5 | 35 - 31 | View |
| Dec 18, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 3 | 34 - 24 | View |
| Nov 29, 2022 |
Florida Panthers
at
Calgary Flames
|
2 - 6 | 33 - 23 | View |
| Nov 19, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 4 | 35 - 35 | View |
| Jan 18, 2022 |
Florida Panthers
at
Calgary Flames
|
1 - 5 | 29 - 31 | View |
| Jan 4, 2022 |
Calgary Flames
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 6 | 49 - 45 | View |