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Florida Panthers vs Calgary Flames prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 20, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 20, 2026.

March 20, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

155:25 together · 10 games

xG share46.4%
Corsi for / against
155 / 128
Fenwick for / against
116 / 100
Corsi share
54.8%
Fenwick share
53.7%
xG for / against
6.48 / 7.50
All observed combinations

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

47:54 together · 9 games

xG share45.1%
Corsi for / against
52 / 36
Fenwick for / against
39 / 27
Corsi share
59.1%
Fenwick share
59.1%
xG for / against
1.74 / 2.13
Defense pair

55:40 together · 7 games

xG share39.1%
Corsi for / against
47 / 50
Fenwick for / against
31 / 36
Corsi share
48.5%
Fenwick share
46.3%
xG for / against
1.57 / 2.45
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Sergei Bobrovsky

Florida Panthers · Last start: Mar 19

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
134
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
32.1

Devin Cooley

Calgary Flames · Last start: Mar 18

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
88.0
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
34.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.34
xG against / game
3.19
xG differential / game
0.14

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Calgary Flames

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.59
xG differential / game
-0.84

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.8
Corsi share (%)
53.4
Fenwick share (%)
52.7
Faceoff win %
47.0
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Calgary Flames

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.1
Corsi share (%)
46.9
Fenwick share (%)
46.3
Faceoff win %
46.7
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 34.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
14Points10
0.583Points %0.455
34Goals for28
36Goals against41
-2Goal differential-13
W1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY home
9Games7
4Wins4
10Points8
-5Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Calgary Flames CGY
5-4-1Record5-5-0
11Points10
30Goals for27
32Goals against35
-2Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Calgary Flames CGY 7 wins
Total goals25 – 33
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.5 / 3.3
Shots per game35.9 / 30.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 28, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 3 34 - 40 View
Mar 1, 2025
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
0 - 3 23 - 42 View
Dec 14, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
0 - 3 32 - 27 View
Mar 9, 2024
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 5 35 - 31 View
Dec 18, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 3 34 - 24 View
Nov 29, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
2 - 6 33 - 23 View
Nov 19, 2022
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 4 35 - 35 View
Jan 18, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
1 - 5 29 - 31 View
Jan 4, 2022
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 6 49 - 45 View
Mar 1, 2020
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 0 28 - 38 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.