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Florida Panthers vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 4, 2026.

October 4, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Florida Panthers

7-4-2

2
Final
Home

Anaheim Ducks

5-6-1

3 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Anaheim Ducks at 67.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Florida Panthers logo
Away team

Florida Panthers

32.9%
Fair American +204
Fair decimal 3.04
Best market -130 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 56.5%
Edge -23.6%
Expected value -41.8%
Calculate value
Anaheim Ducks logo
Home team

Anaheim Ducks

67.1%
Fair American -204
Fair decimal 1.49
Best market +115 · BetMGM
Market implied 46.5%
Edge +20.6%
Expected value +44.3%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 4, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Value Picks

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
1.66
ROI
166.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

28:39 together · 2 games

xG share68.9%
Corsi for / against
23 / 16
Fenwick for / against
16 / 13
Corsi share
59.0%
Fenwick share
55.2%
xG for / against
1.19 / 0.54
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trioUnder 10 minutes

9:50 together · 1 game

xG share67.9%
Corsi for / against
16 / 12
Fenwick for / against
11 / 8
Corsi share
57.1%
Fenwick share
57.9%
xG for / against
0.99 / 0.47
Defense pair

19:50 together · 1 game

xG share57.9%
Corsi for / against
12 / 24
Fenwick for / against
8 / 15
Corsi share
33.3%
Fenwick share
34.8%
xG for / against
0.95 / 0.69
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Akira Schmid

Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 1

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
32
Save %
87.5
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
25.0

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Oct 2

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
30
Save %
90.0
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
26.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.24
xG against / game
3.18
xG differential / game
0.06

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.99
xG against / game
3.29
xG differential / game
-0.31

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
60.5
Corsi share (%)
55.3
Fenwick share (%)
52.6
Faceoff win %
50.0
Penalties / game
6.5

Shots / game: 23.0 · Shooting: 8.7% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Anaheim Ducks

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
47.0
Corsi share (%)
41.6
Fenwick share (%)
41.6
Faceoff win %
42.9
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 20.0 · Shooting: 20.0% · Avg distance: 36.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
16Points11
0.615Points %0.458
39Goals for37
37Goals against43
2Goal differential-6
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
10Games5
5Wins1
12Points3
-1Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
6-4-0Record3-6-1
12Points7
33Goals for30
30Goals against38
3Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 3 wins
Total goals34 – 26
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game3.4 / 2.6
Shots per game39.6 / 28.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 4, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 7 21 - 32 View
Oct 28, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 2 17 - 33 View
Jan 21, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 2 29 - 30 View
Jan 18, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
0 - 3 34 - 45 View
Jan 15, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 4 26 - 33 View
Nov 17, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 1 35 - 35 View
Feb 20, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 4 32 - 55 View
Nov 6, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 3 48 - 35 View
Apr 12, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 3 24 - 55 View
Mar 18, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 0 42 - 17 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings FLA ANA