Forward trio
86:53 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 87 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 67
- Corsi share
- 48.3%
- Fenwick share
- 49.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.47 / 5.31
Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2026.
February 28, 2026
· 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
147:52 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 165 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 126 / 96
- Corsi share
- 55.9%
- Fenwick share
- 56.8%
- xG for / against
- 9.16 / 7.09
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
65:27 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 56 / 71
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 54
- Corsi share
- 44.1%
- Fenwick share
- 41.9%
- xG for / against
- 2.59 / 4.47
Defense pair
120:08 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 105 / 132
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 101
- Corsi share
- 44.3%
- Fenwick share
- 42.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 8.48
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Connor Ingram
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Feb 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 82
- Save %
- 86.6
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 37.8
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Feb 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 136
- Save %
- 88.2
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 22.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.87
- xG against / game
- 3.10
- xG differential / game
- 0.77
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.95
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- -0.42
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 65.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.0
- Faceoff win %
- 55.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 34.0 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 29.2 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.5
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 13 |
| 0.750 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 52 | Goals for | 37 |
| 43 | Goals against | 45 |
| 9 | Goal differential | -8 |
| OT1 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 5 |
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 10 | Points | 4 |
| 14 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 15 | Points | 9 |
| 38 | Goals for | 28 |
| 30 | Goals against | 33 |
| 8 | Goal differential | -5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
9 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
1 wins
Total goals44 – 17
Goal differential
+27
/
-27
Goals per game4.4 / 1.7
Shots per game35.4 / 22.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 4 | 20 - 32 | View |
| Apr 16, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 0 | 28 - 18 | View |
| Apr 11, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 4 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Apr 3, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 2 | 38 - 29 | View |
| Dec 21, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 3 | 22 - 42 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 9 | 21 - 38 | View |
| Dec 28, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 0 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Nov 9, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 3 | 41 - 18 | View |
| Apr 13, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 5 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Apr 8, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
6 - 1 | 35 - 23 | View |