Away team
Edmonton Oilers
50.3%
Fair American
-101
Fair decimal
1.99
Edmonton Oilers vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 1, 2026
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 1, 2026.
November 1, 2026
· 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Edmonton Oilers at 50.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
New York Rangers
49.7%
Fair American
+101
Fair decimal
2.01
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 1, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.39
- ROI
- 6.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 2-0
- Net units
- 1.84
- ROI
- 92.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- -0.07
- ROI
- -0.7%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 2.21
- ROI
- 44.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 3-1
- Net units
- 2.41
- ROI
- 60.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.60
- ROI
- 10.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
138:11 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 104
- Fenwick for / against
- 119 / 86
- Corsi share
- 60.5%
- Fenwick share
- 58.0%
- xG for / against
- 8.70 / 6.01
Defense pair
143:36 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 87 / 140
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 99
- Corsi share
- 38.3%
- Fenwick share
- 38.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.69 / 5.54
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 65
- Corsi share
- 51.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.82 / 3.49
Defense pair
146:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 148 / 153
- Fenwick for / against
- 108 / 98
- Corsi share
- 49.2%
- Fenwick share
- 52.4%
- xG for / against
- 7.77 / 5.06
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Edmonton Oilers
Expected starter unavailable.
New York Rangers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Tristan Jarry
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 86.3
- Goals allowed
- 18
- Close-range shots %
- 27.5
James Reimer
New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 8
- Save %
- 62.5
- Goals allowed
- 3
- Close-range shots %
- 37.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.02
- xG against / game
- 2.94
- xG differential / game
- 0.09
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 3.27
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 24.0 · Shooting: 15.4% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 15 |
| 0.750 | Points % | 0.536 |
| 52 | Goals for | 44 |
| 43 | Goals against | 42 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 2 |
| OT1 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
NYR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 10 | Points | 12 |
| 14 | Goal differential | 16 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 15 | Points | 9 |
| 38 | Goals for | 33 |
| 30 | Goals against | 36 |
| 8 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
6 wins
10
games reviewed
NYR
4 wins
Total goals33 – 30
Goal differential
+3
/
-3
Goals per game3.3 / 3.0
Shots per game31.2 / 30.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 36 | View |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 0 | 22 - 30 | View |
| Mar 16, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 1 | 23 - 22 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
2 - 6 | 34 - 40 | View |
| Dec 22, 2023 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 34 | View |
| Oct 26, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
3 - 0 | 32 - 29 | View |
| Feb 17, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
5 - 4 | 38 - 29 | View |
| Nov 26, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Jan 3, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 4 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Nov 5, 2021 |
New York Rangers
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
5 - 6 | 25 - 39 | View |