Forward trio
86:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 90 / 98
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 73
- Corsi share
- 47.9%
- Fenwick share
- 48.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.32 / 5.66
Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 12, 2026.
March 12, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
135:28 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 158 / 117
- Fenwick for / against
- 118 / 88
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 57.3%
- xG for / against
- 8.86 / 6.04
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
92:26 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 90 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 44
- Corsi share
- 55.2%
- Fenwick share
- 60.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.19 / 2.79
Defense pair
133:53 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 112 / 109
- Fenwick for / against
- 84 / 68
- Corsi share
- 50.7%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 6.53 / 3.95
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Connor Ingram
Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Mar 10
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 88.3
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 29.2
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 10
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 115
- Save %
- 89.6
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 19.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 3.13
- xG differential / game
- 0.34
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.92
- xG against / game
- 2.46
- xG differential / game
- 1.46
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Edmonton Oilers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.1
- Faceoff win %
- 55.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 30.1 · Shooting: 13.6% · Avg distance: 29.4 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.5
- Faceoff win %
- 54.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 14.4% · Avg distance: 29.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
EDM
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Points | 15 |
| 0.750 | Points % | 0.625 |
| 52 | Goals for | 33 |
| 43 | Goals against | 25 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 8 |
| OT1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
EDM road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 10 | Points | 8 |
| 14 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
EDM
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 15 | Points | 15 |
| 38 | Goals for | 32 |
| 30 | Goals against | 19 |
| 8 | Goal differential | 13 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
EDM
4 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
6 wins
Total goals32 – 40
Goal differential
-8
/
+8
Goals per game3.2 / 4.0
Shots per game32.5 / 26.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
8 - 3 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Mar 26, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 44 | View |
| Mar 8, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 5 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 4 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Apr 3, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 5 | 35 - 32 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 3 | 24 - 27 | View |
| Nov 2, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
4 - 3 | 27 - 49 | View |
| Mar 16, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Edmonton Oilers
|
1 - 4 | 26 - 30 | View |
| Dec 21, 2022 |
Edmonton Oilers
at
Dallas Stars
|
6 - 3 | 34 - 27 | View |