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Edmonton Oilers vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 12, 2026

NHL matchup

Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 12, 2026.

January 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

165:45 together · 10 games

xG share61.9%
Corsi for / against
178 / 132
Fenwick for / against
138 / 103
Corsi share
57.4%
Fenwick share
57.3%
xG for / against
11.32 / 6.97
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

114:34 together · 8 games

xG share54.2%
Corsi for / against
112 / 91
Fenwick for / against
80 / 63
Corsi share
55.2%
Fenwick share
55.9%
xG for / against
5.09 / 4.30
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Connor Ingram

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Jan 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
24.3

Drew Commesso

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Jan 10

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
60
Save %
91.7
Goals allowed
5
Close-range shots %
31.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.75
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
3.13
xG differential / game
-0.21

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.3
Corsi share (%)
49.8
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
51.5
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 28.8 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.1
Corsi share (%)
51.1
Fenwick share (%)
49.9
Faceoff win %
50.3
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 25.1 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
18Points6
0.750Points %0.273
52Goals for24
43Goals against43
9Goal differential-19
OT1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Edmonton Oilers EDM road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
5Games7
5Wins3
10Points6
14Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
7-2-1Record3-7-0
15Points6
38Goals for22
30Goals against38
8Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Edmonton Oilers EDM 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 1 wins
Total goals40 – 27
Goal differential +13 / -13
Goals per game4.0 / 2.7
Shots per game34.0 / 26.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 1, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 29 - 30 View
Feb 5, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 38 - 32 View
Jan 11, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 34 - 22 View
Oct 12, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 2 20 - 38 View
Jan 25, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
0 - 3 27 - 34 View
Jan 9, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 1 15 - 26 View
Dec 12, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 4 23 - 29 View
Jan 28, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 7 29 - 43 View
Nov 30, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 4 41 - 25 View
Oct 27, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 5 38 - 36 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.