Skip to content

Detroit Red Wings vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 15, 2027

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 15, 2027.

February 15, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Detroit Red Wings

4-4-3

38.5%
at
Home

Vegas Golden Knights

8-4-1

61.5% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 61.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Detroit Red Wings logo
Away team

Detroit Red Wings

38.5%
Fair American +160
Fair decimal 2.6
Calculate value
Vegas Golden Knights logo
Home team

Vegas Golden Knights

61.5%
Fair American -160
Fair decimal 1.63
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 15, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

100:07 together · 10 games

xG share53.5%
Corsi for / against
105 / 87
Fenwick for / against
73 / 51
Corsi share
54.7%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
3.75 / 3.26
All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:16 together · 10 games

xG share64.5%
Corsi for / against
113 / 85
Fenwick for / against
83 / 58
Corsi share
57.1%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
5.90 / 3.25
Defense pair

154:42 together · 10 games

xG share64.6%
Corsi for / against
179 / 132
Fenwick for / against
132 / 93
Corsi share
57.6%
Fenwick share
58.7%
xG for / against
9.12 / 5.00
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
116
Save %
84.5
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
30.2

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 15, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.46
xG against / game
3.15
xG differential / game
0.31

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
0.58

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 15, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.7
Corsi share (%)
53.3
Fenwick share (%)
54.0
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 30.6 · Shooting: 9.2% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.3
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.4
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 29.3 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
11Points17
0.500Points %0.654
29Goals for47
34Goals against38
-5Goal differential9
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
4Games7
1Wins5
4Points10
-2Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
4-3-3Record6-3-1
11Points13
29Goals for36
32Goals against30
-3Goal differential6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 6 wins
Total goals28 – 31
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game2.8 / 3.1
Shots per game27.1 / 31.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 4, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 3 25 - 26 View
Nov 4, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 1 24 - 34 View
Mar 22, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 6 31 - 36 View
Mar 16, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
0 - 3 18 - 27 View
Mar 9, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 5 26 - 36 View
Jan 27, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 5 30 - 29 View
Jan 19, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 2 25 - 35 View
Dec 3, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 1 25 - 25 View
Nov 18, 2021
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5 28 - 32 View
Nov 7, 2021
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 5 40 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DET VGK