Away team
Detroit Red Wings
36.7%
Fair American
+172
Fair decimal
2.72
Detroit Red Wings vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 13, 2027
NHL matchup
Detroit Red Wings at Utah Mammoth
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 13, 2027.
January 13, 2027
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Utah Mammoth at 63.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Utah Mammoth
63.3%
Fair American
-172
Fair decimal
1.58
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 13, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 7-4
- Net units
- 1.27
- ROI
- 11.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 5-2
- Net units
- 2.46
- ROI
- 35.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.21
- ROI
- 13.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 3.44
Defense pair
112:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.84 / 3.62
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:58 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 101 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 37
- Corsi share
- 64.3%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 6.21 / 1.77
Defense pair
119:15 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 146 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 100 / 71
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.5%
- xG for / against
- 7.66 / 4.72
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
Utah Mammoth
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Michal Postava
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 36
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 27.8
Karel Vejmelka
Utah Mammoth · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 124
- Save %
- 84.7
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 26.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.20
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Utah Mammoth
- xG for / game
- 3.73
- xG against / game
- 2.81
- xG differential / game
- 0.92
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Utah Mammoth
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 65.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 55.3
- Faceoff win %
- 53.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DET
|
Metric |
UTA
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 16 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 33 | Goals for | 46 |
| 37 | Goals against | 40 |
| -4 | Goal differential | 6 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
DET road
|
Metric |
UTA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 5 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 8 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
DET
|
Metric |
UTA
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-2-3 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 13 | Points | 12 |
| 31 | Goals for | 36 |
| 32 | Goals against | 39 |
| -1 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DET
0 wins
2
games reviewed
UTA
2 wins
Total goals2 – 8
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game1.0 / 4.0
Shots per game29.0 / 26.5
Detroit Red Wings
Utah Mammoth
