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Detroit Red Wings vs Utah Mammoth prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at Utah Mammoth

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 4, 2026.

February 4, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

117:41 together · 10 games

xG share50.2%
Corsi for / against
124 / 104
Fenwick for / against
94 / 74
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
56.0%
xG for / against
5.77 / 5.74
Defense pair

80:12 together · 9 games

xG share43.9%
Corsi for / against
85 / 84
Fenwick for / against
66 / 62
Corsi share
50.3%
Fenwick share
51.6%
xG for / against
3.31 / 4.22
All observed combinations

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

94:35 together · 9 games

xG share49.3%
Corsi for / against
104 / 84
Fenwick for / against
73 / 67
Corsi share
55.3%
Fenwick share
52.1%
xG for / against
5.11 / 5.25
Defense pair

139:44 together · 10 games

xG share53.3%
Corsi for / against
141 / 113
Fenwick for / against
112 / 86
Corsi share
55.5%
Fenwick share
56.6%
xG for / against
7.40 / 6.49
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Feb 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
109
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
17.4

Karel Vejmelka

Utah Mammoth · Last start: Feb 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
147
Save %
90.5
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
28.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.22
xG against / game
3.10
xG differential / game
0.12

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Utah Mammoth

xG for / game
3.17
xG against / game
3.22
xG differential / game
-0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.3
Corsi share (%)
52.6
Fenwick share (%)
53.8
Faceoff win %
52.1
Penalties / game
2.6

Shots / game: 29.1 · Shooting: 8.2% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Utah Mammoth

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.8
Corsi share (%)
50.7
Fenwick share (%)
49.8
Faceoff win %
53.0
Penalties / game
4.8

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 15.2% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
13Points16
0.542Points %0.615
33Goals for47
37Goals against43
-4Goal differential4
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA home
5Games6
2Wins4
6Points8
-1Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Utah Mammoth UTA
5-2-3Record6-4-0
13Points12
31Goals for35
32Goals against38
-1Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 0 wins
1 games reviewed
Utah Mammoth UTA 1 wins
Total goals1 – 4
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game1.0 / 4.0
Shots per game28.0 / 28.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 17, 2025
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 1 28 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.