Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 13, 2026

NHL matchup

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 13, 2026.

April 13, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Detroit Red Wings

41-31-10
at
Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

50-26-6
Model favourite Tampa Bay Lightning at 74.2%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Detroit Red Wings logo
Away team

Detroit Red Wings

25.8%
Fair American +288
Fair decimal 3.88
Best market +170 · BetUS
Market implied 37.0%
Edge -11.2%
Expected value -30.3%
Calculate value
Tampa Bay Lightning logo
Home team

Tampa Bay Lightning

74.2%
Fair American -288
Fair decimal 1.35
Best market -190 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 65.5%
Edge +8.7%
Expected value +13.3%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
92Points106
0.561Points %0.646
241Goals for290
258Goals against231
-17Goal differential59
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Detroit Red Wings DET road
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL home
41Games41
20Wins26
46Points53
-7Goal differential22
Last 10 games
Detroit Red Wings DET
Metric
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL
2-6-2Record5-5-0
6Points10
29Goals for26
45Goals against30
-16Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Detroit Red Wings DET 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL 4 wins
Total goals28 – 32
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.8 / 3.2
Shots per game33.5 / 26.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 12, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 4 25 - 28 View
Nov 28, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 3 28 - 36 View
Oct 17, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 32 - 31 View
Apr 11, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 3 26 - 21 View
Feb 8, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 3 18 - 37 View
Jan 25, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
0 - 2 28 - 32 View
Jan 18, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
1 - 5 39 - 22 View
Apr 1, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 2 32 - 36 View
Jan 21, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 28 - 35 View
Oct 14, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 6 25 - 42 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DET TBL