Forward trio
74:36 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 82 / 52
- Fenwick for / against
- 54 / 37
- Corsi share
- 61.2%
- Fenwick share
- 59.3%
- xG for / against
- 3.55 / 1.54
Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 29, 2026.
January 29, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
120:43 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 55
- Corsi share
- 52.8%
- Fenwick share
- 52.6%
- xG for / against
- 3.90 / 3.75
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
95:46 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 86 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 58 / 71
- Corsi share
- 47.0%
- Fenwick share
- 45.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.84 / 3.88
Defense pair
154:34 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 133 / 140
- Fenwick for / against
- 94 / 105
- Corsi share
- 48.7%
- Fenwick share
- 47.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.92 / 6.70
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 118
- Save %
- 89.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 28.8
Akira Schmid
Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Jan 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 89.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 36.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 2.86
- xG against / game
- 2.52
- xG differential / game
- 0.33
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vegas Golden Knights
- xG for / game
- 3.29
- xG against / game
- 2.71
- xG differential / game
- 0.58
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.4
- Faceoff win %
- 51.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.1
Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
Vegas Golden Knights
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.8
- Faceoff win %
- 47.2
- Penalties / game
- 2.5
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 13.5% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 17 |
| 0.682 | Points % | 0.654 |
| 32 | Goals for | 47 |
| 20 | Goals against | 38 |
| 12 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W5 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
VGK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
VGK
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 15 | Points | 13 |
| 32 | Goals for | 36 |
| 16 | Goals against | 30 |
| 16 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
VGK
4 wins
Total goals26 – 25
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game2.6 / 2.5
Shots per game30.7 / 28.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Jan 24, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 4 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Dec 6, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 3 | 40 - 28 | View |
| Dec 9, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Dallas Stars
|
6 - 1 | 27 - 20 | View |
| Nov 22, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 1 | 26 - 32 | View |
| Oct 17, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 34 | View |
| Apr 8, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 2 | 20 - 25 | View |
| Feb 25, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3 - 2 | 43 - 43 | View |
| Jan 16, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 0 | 36 - 27 | View |
| Apr 26, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 35 - 30 | View |